Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Toledo

33.3%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -200

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreOhio 79

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricOhio

58.8MMH Power Index48

116.0Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency110.7

6.4Net Efficiency-1.0

2.3Strength of Schedule-0.1

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

69.8Tempo71.0

55.1%Effective FG%52.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

30.3%Free Throw Rate37.8%

4.5Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.7), net efficiency (6.4–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.8–30.3).

Final

Toledo

86—83

Ohio

Toledo by 3 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATOhio

34-64FG31-69

53.0%FG%45.0%

7-163PT8-19

44.0%3PT%42.0%

11-19FT13-17

58.0%FT%76.0%

40Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists11

9Turnovers5

2Steals4

6Blocks1

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	36	7-14	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	15
Bryce Ford	G	30	4-10	2-6	5-6	3	1	1	0	15
Sam Lewis	G	28	6-11	2-5	1-2	6	0	0	0	15
Seth Hubbard	G	21	5-10	0-1	5-7	8	5	0	0	15
Javan Simmons	F	32	5-9	0-0	0-4	9	4	0	0	10
Isaiah Adams	Guard	25	4-7	2-2	0-0	1	4	1	2	10
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	3	4
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Grgur Brcic	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Paveletzke	G	33	9-14	1-2	3-5	3	6	0	0	22
AJ Brown	G	26	8-13	3-6	3-3	8	2	0	0	22
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	34	4-13	2-5	2-3	3	2	1	0	12
Elmore James IV	G	27	4-8	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Vic Searls	Forward	32	2-7	0-0	2-2	8	0	2	0	6
Ajay Sheldon	G	17	2-5	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Elijah Elliott	G	23	2-8	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	5
Ayden Evans	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

115.3Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency115.3

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

58.6%Effective FG%50.7%

58.9%True Shooting %53.8%

12.2%Turnover Rate6.7%

29.7%Free Throw Rate24.6%

25.0%3-Point Rate27.5%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Toledo won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.