Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Central Michigan

75.8%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -313

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 73

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreBuffalo 82

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricBuffalo

44MMH Power Index49.7

105.9Offensive Efficiency114.9

111.0Defensive Efficiency112.2

-5.1Net Efficiency2.7

-0.5Strength of Schedule0.0

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

69.3Tempo67.9

52.6%Effective FG%56.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

32.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-3.5Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–44.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–105.9), net efficiency (2.7–-5.1), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.5).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.0–112.2), recent form (1.3–-5.9), offensive rebounding (29.6–27.6).

Final

Central Michigan

69—75

Buffalo

Buffalo by 6 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATBuffalo

27-55FG28-62

49.0%FG%45.0%

5-193PT9-27

26.0%3PT%33.0%

10-23FT10-17

43.0%FT%59.0%

36Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists15

19Turnovers17

9Steals11

1Blocks3

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	37	7-18	1-4	1-6	4	5	4	0	16
Jakobi Heady	G	39	5-9	0-2	2-6	11	0	1	0	12
Cayden Vasko	G	37	4-7	3-6	0-0	4	4	0	0	11
Bryan Ndjonga	F	24	3-3	0-0	3-6	6	0	1	0	9
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	22	3-7	1-4	2-2	3	1	1	0	9
Quentin Heady	F	24	3-6	0-0	2-3	3	1	1	1	8
Damarion Bonds	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Shaedon Simpson	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	38	8-15	6-12	2-4	2	1	0	0	24
Tyson Dunn	G	31	6-15	0-2	0-0	3	9	2	2	12
Ben Michaels	F	23	5-10	0-3	2-2	6	1	1	0	12
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	21	4-7	1-3	0-2	6	0	1	0	9
Noah Batchelor	G	33	1-3	0-2	4-5	7	0	0	0	6
Bryson Wilson	G	16	2-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	3	1	6
Omar Migues-Hibeljic	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-2	2	1	1	0	3
Kavon Bradford	G	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Tim Oboh	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Frederiks Meinarts	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Brayden Jackson	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

93.9Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency93.9

-8.2Net Efficiency8.2

53.6%Effective FG%52.4%

52.3%True Shooting %53.5%

25.7%Turnover Rate23.3%

41.8%Free Throw Rate27.4%

34.5%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.