VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%VCU

65.0%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -186

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 76

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Team Comparison

VCUMetricSaint Louis

65.7MMH Power Index66.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

103.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

13.1Net Efficiency23.2

5.4Strength of Schedule0.3

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

69.5Tempo72.2

53.7%Effective FG%59.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

9.1Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–65.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–116.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.3), net efficiency (23.2–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–0.3), recent form (6.0–0.1), ball security (15.1–17.1).

Final

VCU

69—78

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 9 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATSaint Louis

22-67FG21-43

33.0%FG%49.0%

5-313PT6-18

16.0%3PT%33.0%

20-26FT30-39

77.0%FT%77.0%

37Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists14

8Turnovers17

12Steals5

2Blocks3

27Fouls20

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Phillip Russell	Guard	32	5-12	1-7	4-5	0	2	1	0	15
Zeb Jackson	Guard	18	4-8	3-6	4-4	1	1	2	0	15
Max Shulga	Guard	34	2-12	1-5	9-10	5	1	1	0	14
Joe Bamisile	Guard	26	5-17	0-5	1-2	6	1	4	0	11
Jack Clark	Forward	31	2-8	0-5	2-2	9	3	3	0	6
Luke Bamgboye	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	2
Christian Fermin	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	0	2
Brandon Jennings	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Alphonzo Billups III	G	1	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Michael Belle	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	39	8-16	3-7	7-10	5	0	2	0	26
Kobe Johnson	Guard	34	6-10	2-5	5-6	6	0	1	2	19
Robbie Avila	C	36	3-5	0-0	8-8	7	3	0	0	14
Isaiah Swope	Guard	38	2-6	1-5	5-7	2	4	0	0	10
Dylan Warlick	F	12	1-1	0-0	5-6	3	1	0	0	7
Kalu Anya	F	28	1-3	0-0	0-2	10	5	2	1	2
Amari McCottry	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

93.9Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency93.9

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

36.6%Effective FG%55.8%

43.5%True Shooting %63.4%

11.1%Turnover Rate22.8%

38.8%Free Throw Rate90.7%

46.3%3-Point Rate41.9%

1.13Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.