Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Southern Illinois

49.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -102

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 71

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreValparaiso 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricValparaiso

54.6MMH Power Index49.9

103.4Offensive Efficiency106.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency105.8

4.9Net Efficiency0.8

1.6Strength of Schedule0.3

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.6Tempo67.5

49.5%Effective FG%48.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

32.3%Free Throw Rate40.0%

3.4Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–49.9), defensive efficiency (98.5–105.8), net efficiency (4.9–0.8), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.6–103.4), ball security (15.6–17.0), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

Southern Illinois

79—75

Valparaiso

Southern Illinois by 4 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATValparaiso

27-53FG26-62

51.0%FG%42.0%

3-143PT10-29

21.0%3PT%34.0%

22-29FT13-18

76.0%FT%72.0%

40Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists14

14Turnovers6

3Steals7

—Blocks5

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	39	3-12	2-6	11-11	2	2	0	19
Ali Dibba	G	38	5-12	1-3	2-4	4	2	2	13
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	30	5-7	0-0	3-5	7	3	1	13
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	20	6-8	0-2	1-1	9	0	0	13
Jorge Moreno	F	14	5-5	0-0	3-6	5	0	0	13
Sheridan Sharp	G	15	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	2	0	6
Rolyns Aligbe	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2
Drew Steffe	G	26	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0
Davion Sykes	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
All Wright	G	32	8-17	4-10	2-6	3	4	2	0	22
Cooper Schwieger	F	35	4-10	1-4	4-4	5	2	0	3	13
Tyler Schmidt	G	33	4-13	1-6	1-2	4	2	1	0	10
Kaspar Sepp	F	31	4-8	1-1	0-0	4	4	0	1	9
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	15	3-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	7
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	20	1-2	1-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	5
Justus McNair	G	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Devon Ellis	F	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	1	2
Isaiah Shaw	G	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency113.3

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

53.8%Effective FG%50.0%

59.2%True Shooting %53.2%

19.8%Turnover Rate8.8%

54.7%Free Throw Rate29.0%

26.4%3-Point Rate46.8%

0.79Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.