Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Fresno State

81.9%Wyoming

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWyoming -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWyoming -452

Wyoming

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 70

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreWyoming 80

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricWyoming

47.1MMH Power Index56.1

104.9Offensive Efficiency113.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.7

0.0Net Efficiency5.7

1.5Strength of Schedule2.2

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.4Tempo67.8

51.3%Effective FG%52.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

35.5%Free Throw Rate36.7%

0.0Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wyoming HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWyoming holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.4–104.9), net efficiency (5.7–0.0), strength of schedule (2.2–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–107.7).

Final

Fresno State

72—83

Wyoming

Wyoming by 11 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATWyoming

27-66FG28-57

41.0%FG%49.0%

5-223PT17-36

23.0%3PT%47.0%

13-19FT10-13

68.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds35

18Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists23

15Turnovers18

13Steals5

2Blocks4

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Weaver	Guard	39	9-21	3-10	2-4	6	2	2	0	23
Brian Amuneke	G	28	4-8	2-4	2-2	1	0	1	0	12
Elijah Price	F	39	3-8	0-2	5-8	12	1	2	2	11
Alex Crawford	F	38	4-12	0-3	1-2	10	2	4	0	9
Mor Seck	C	18	3-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	7
Zaon Collins	G	36	2-10	0-1	2-2	2	7	3	0	6
Jasir Tremble	Guard	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Wyoming

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Newton	Guard	35	6-10	4-8	2-2	7	4	1	1	18
Obi Agbim	G	35	6-9	5-7	0-0	3	5	3	1	17
Dontaie Allen	Guard	26	4-12	4-11	2-2	4	2	0	0	14
Jordan Nesbitt	Guard	35	2-5	2-5	4-6	10	4	0	1	10
Cole Henry	Forward	32	3-3	0-0	2-3	1	4	1	0	8
A.J. Wills	G	22	2-5	2-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Touko Tainamo	Forward	9	3-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Matija Belic	F	20	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Abou Magassa	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Scottie Ebube	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Oleg Kojenets	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency100.6

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

44.7%Effective FG%64.0%

48.0%True Shooting %65.7%

20.8%Turnover Rate25.3%

28.8%Free Throw Rate22.8%

33.3%3-Point Rate63.2%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.28

Game Summary

Wyoming won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.