Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Arizona State

66.8%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -201

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 78

Projected Total161.1

Projected ScoreColorado 83

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricColorado

51MMH Power Index52.7

108.1Offensive Efficiency112.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency112.4

-2.8Net Efficiency0.5

7.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

70.6Tempo71.0

51.3%Effective FG%53.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

40.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-1.9Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (112.9–108.1), net efficiency (0.5–-2.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–51.3).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.9–112.4), strength of schedule (7.0–5.1), recent form (-7.5–-7.7).

Final

Arizona State

70—68

Colorado

Arizona State by 2 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATColorado

22-49FG25-58

45.0%FG%43.0%

7-223PT4-17

32.0%3PT%24.0%

19-26FT14-20

73.0%FT%70.0%

32Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists10

17Turnovers12

3Steals7

5Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Miller	G	39	7-10	4-5	0-2	4	6	2	0	18
Alston Mason	Guard	39	5-9	2-3	5-5	1	1	0	0	17
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	28	5-7	0-0	3-5	8	0	0	2	13
Basheer Jihad	Forward	33	1-6	0-2	9-11	8	1	0	3	11
Amier Ali	G	26	2-8	0-5	2-3	7	1	1	0	6
BJ Freeman	Guard	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Joson Sanon	G	30	1-7	0-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Trevor Best	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevor Baskin	Forward	31	7-11	1-2	4-6	4	1	4	0	19
Julian Hammond III	Guard	33	5-16	0-5	3-3	5	4	0	0	13
Bangot Dak	F	24	5-8	0-1	3-4	6	2	0	2	13
Sebastian Rancik	F	23	3-7	1-3	2-4	4	0	2	1	9
Andrej Jakimovski	Forward	33	2-7	1-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Javon Ruffin	G	18	2-5	1-2	0-1	0	2	0	0	5
Harrison Carrington	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Elijah Malone	C	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
RJ Smith	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Assane Diop	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

100.0Offensive Efficiency97.1

97.1Defensive Efficiency100.0

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

52.0%Effective FG%46.6%

57.0%True Shooting %50.4%

23.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

53.1%Free Throw Rate34.5%

44.9%3-Point Rate29.3%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.