Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.6%Air Force

98.4%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -27.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -6150

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 59

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 86

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricColorado State

23MMH Power Index55.4

91.3Offensive Efficiency117.1

118.5Defensive Efficiency109.9

-27.2Net Efficiency7.2

6.2Strength of Schedule0.4

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

67.4Tempo64.7

49.0%Effective FG%58.6%

21.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

35.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-18.3Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–23.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–91.3), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–0.4).

Final

Air Force

58—79

Colorado State

Colorado State by 21 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATColorado State

20-57FG29-56

35.0%FG%52.0%

7-243PT5-18

29.0%3PT%28.0%

11-13FT16-19

85.0%FT%84.0%

29Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists19

10Turnovers5

3Steals6

3Blocks—

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	36	8-17	4-8	2-2	4	3	2	0	22
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	30	4-6	0-2	1-2	6	0	0	0	9
Luke Kearney	F	37	2-8	1-5	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Kyle Marshall	G	32	2-5	1-1	2-2	6	1	0	0	7
Wesley Celichowski	C	24	1-6	0-3	3-3	1	3	0	3	5
Sam Springer	F	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Caleb Walker	F	9	1-5	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Byron Brown	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Yoda Oke	Guard	11	0-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Beau Becker	Forward	7	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	34	9-17	0-3	4-5	11	7	2	22
Jalen Lake	Guard	32	5-9	2-6	2-2	2	0	2	14
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	16	5-9	2-3	1-2	4	0	0	13
Kyan Evans	G	29	1-4	0-2	6-6	6	8	0	8
Nikola Djapa	C	11	3-4	0-1	1-1	2	1	1	7
Bowen Born	Guard	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	22	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	2	0	3
Rashaan Mbemba	F	18	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	3
Keshawn Williams	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2
Kyle Jorgensen	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

89.1Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency89.1

-32.3Net Efficiency32.3

41.2%Effective FG%56.3%

45.9%True Shooting %60.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate7.8%

22.8%Free Throw Rate33.9%

42.1%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover3.80

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.