Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Old Dominion

78.4%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -363

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 68

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreApp State 78

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricApp State

47.2MMH Power Index54.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency110.9

109.8Defensive Efficiency101.7

-2.4Net Efficiency9.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.2

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

70.9Tempo64.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-1.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.8), net efficiency (9.2–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.2).

Final

Old Dominion

78—77

App State

Old Dominion by 1 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATApp State

28-57FG27-59

49.0%FG%46.0%

9-213PT10-27

43.0%3PT%37.0%

13-19FT13-17

68.0%FT%76.0%

35Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists15

10Turnovers9

6Steals5

2Blocks3

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Durugordon	Guard	38	9-14	3-6	4-6	12	2	1	1	25
Robert Davis Jr.	G	40	7-12	4-6	1-1	3	1	0	0	19
R.J. Blakney	Forward	37	3-9	1-4	0-0	8	0	2	1	7
Donovan Raymond	F	14	3-6	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	0	7
Jaden Johnson	G	38	2-7	0-1	2-2	3	7	1	0	6
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	9	2-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	5
Caden Diggs	F	9	1-2	0-0	3-3	2	1	1	0	5
Dani Pounds	F	15	1-5	1-4	1-2	1	1	1	0	4

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	38	8-23	5-15	2-4	2	8	1	2	23
Alonzo Dodd	G	35	5-8	2-4	4-4	3	4	1	0	16
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	26	5-6	0-0	4-6	3	0	0	1	14
CJ Huntley	Forward	34	4-12	0-1	0-0	10	1	2	0	8
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	13	2-2	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	29	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Dior Conners	G	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Luke Wilson	C	7	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Jamil Muttilib	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

117.1Offensive Efficiency115.6

115.6Defensive Efficiency117.1

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

57.0%Effective FG%54.2%

59.1%True Shooting %57.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.4%

33.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

36.8%3-Point Rate45.8%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Old Dominion won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.