Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Missouri State

44.1%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -127

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 75

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreIndiana State 75

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricIndiana State

51.1MMH Power Index44.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

108.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

2.1Net Efficiency-1.3

0.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.9Tempo70.3

51.8%Effective FG%53.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.5%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate28.8%

1.4Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–104.7), net efficiency (2.1–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–108.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.8).

Final

Missouri State

67—72

Indiana State

Indiana State by 5 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATIndiana State

26-53FG20-47

49.0%FG%43.0%

5-203PT8-25

25.0%3PT%32.0%

10-16FT24-32

63.0%FT%75.0%

27Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists8

17Turnovers15

8Steals7

2Blocks2

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dez White	G	38	6-15	4-9	0-3	3	1	1	0	16
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	21	6-11	0-1	2-3	6	2	1	0	14
Chase Martin	Guard	22	4-8	1-3	2-2	2	1	1	1	11
Wesley Oba	Forward	17	4-4	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	1	8
Jalen Hampton	G	29	3-3	0-0	1-2	8	1	2	0	7
Vincent Brady II	G	24	3-7	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Zaxton King	G	24	0-3	0-3	3-3	1	2	0	0	3
Logan Epes	G	6	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	4	2	0	0
Allen Udemadu	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	37	5-11	2-4	8-8	3	3	2	0	20
Jaden Daughtry	F	25	6-11	1-3	5-8	9	1	1	0	18
Camp Wagner	G	26	4-11	4-11	2-3	3	1	1	0	14
Aaron Gray	Forward	31	3-3	1-1	5-5	3	0	1	1	12
K'mani Doughty	Guard	28	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	2	1	1	4
Bruno Alocen	G	24	0-2	0-1	3-4	3	1	0	0	3
Markus Harding	C	17	0-2	0-1	1-4	4	0	0	0	1
Jayan Walker	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Josiah LeGree	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Derek Vorst	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

103.2Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency103.2

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

53.8%Effective FG%51.1%

55.3%True Shooting %57.9%

25.5%Turnover Rate23.7%

30.2%Free Throw Rate68.1%

37.7%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.76Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.