West Georgia

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.9%West Georgia

84.1%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -529

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWest Georgia 73

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 86

Team Comparison

West GeorgiaMetricCentral Arkansas

43.6MMH Power Index54

107.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

111.6Defensive Efficiency105.2

-4.2Net Efficiency8.7

-2.6Strength of Schedule-3.9

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

71.3Tempo71.0

50.4%Effective FG%54.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

29.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-3.0Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–43.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–111.6), net efficiency (8.7–-4.2).

West Georgia COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.6–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

West Georgia

70—75

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 5 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

West GeorgiaTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

25-63FG28-58

40.0%FG%48.0%

6-183PT10-23

33.0%3PT%43.0%

14-20FT9-13

70.0%FT%69.0%

37Rebounds36

17Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists20

13Turnovers15

10Steals9

2Blocks5

13Fouls20

Player Box Score

West Georgia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyric Davis	G	38	5-9	1-3	8-11	3	3	0	0	19
Shelton Williams-Dryden	F	35	6-13	0-0	5-7	6	1	2	0	17
Malcolm Noel	G	34	4-11	2-4	0-0	1	5	3	0	10
Tamaury Releford	C	17	4-8	0-0	1-1	12	0	0	1	9
Kolten Griffin	F	15	3-7	1-3	0-1	2	0	0	1	7
Rickey Ballard	F	27	2-8	1-2	0-0	7	0	2	0	5
Brady Hardewig	G	16	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Demetrus Johnson II	Point Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0	0
Tauris Watson	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Fox	Guard	32	6-12	5-11	1-2	1	4	1	0	18
Elias Cato	Forward	32	7-12	1-4	2-2	8	0	0	1	17
Cole McCormick	F	28	4-8	3-4	0-0	5	3	3	0	11
Mike Evbagharu	G	31	3-6	0-2	2-2	9	2	2	0	8
Brayden Fagbemi	G	34	2-9	0-0	3-4	5	8	1	0	7
Nehemiah Turner	F	19	2-3	0-0	1-3	2	1	1	4	5
Ethan Thomas	G	11	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Diogo Seixas	Forward	9	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Connor Mancell	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

103.1Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency103.1

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

44.4%Effective FG%56.9%

48.3%True Shooting %58.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate22.3%

31.7%Free Throw Rate22.4%

28.6%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.