Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.5%Murray State

12.5%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -700

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 84

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreEvansville 72

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricEvansville

53.6MMH Power Index31.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency98.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

4.0Net Efficiency-13.9

3.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

72.3Tempo68.0

54.0%Effective FG%50.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.9%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate30.8%

2.9Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–31.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–98.5), defensive efficiency (111.0–112.4), net efficiency (4.0–-13.9).

Final

Murray State

74—78

Evansville

Evansville by 4 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATEvansville

24-64FG27-47

38.0%FG%57.0%

12-363PT6-15

33.0%3PT%40.0%

14-18FT18-24

78.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds31

16Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists15

7Turnovers8

5Steals3

1Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	37	9-14	6-9	5-6	4	2	0	0	29
AJ Ferguson	Guard	39	6-14	3-9	4-7	3	2	0	0	19
Terence Harcum	Guard	32	4-11	3-8	0-0	3	3	2	0	11
Kylen Milton	Guard	26	2-10	0-5	3-3	2	2	0	0	7
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	23	2-5	0-0	2-2	9	4	0	0	6
Nick Ellington	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	1	2
Alden Applewhite	F	14	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Justin Morgan	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabriel Pozzato	F	36	10-14	4-7	5-6	4	2	0	0	29
Tayshawn Comer	G	40	6-13	2-5	13-14	3	6	0	0	27
Tanner Cuff	G	36	6-7	0-0	0-2	12	5	1	0	12
Connor Turnbull	F	30	3-6	0-2	0-0	7	1	1	3	6
Joshua Hughes	F	36	2-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Michael Day	Center	10	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	0
Gui Tesch	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kaia Berridge	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency118.4

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

46.9%Effective FG%63.8%

51.0%True Shooting %66.8%

11.0%Turnover Rate13.0%

28.1%Free Throw Rate51.1%

56.3%3-Point Rate31.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Evansville won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.