Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.3%Rutgers

82.7%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -478

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 68

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 79

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricNorthwestern

45.9MMH Power Index55.4

104.2Offensive Efficiency111.6

112.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

-8.0Net Efficiency1.8

3.9Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

67.4Tempo65.6

47.4%Effective FG%51.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-5.4Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–45.9), offensive efficiency (111.6–104.2), defensive efficiency (109.8–112.2), net efficiency (1.8–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.6–-2.7), offensive rebounding (29.2–28.2), free throw rate (36.3–34.8).

Final

Rutgers

79—72

Northwestern

Rutgers by 7 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATNorthwestern

28-49FG25-59

57.0%FG%42.0%

8-143PT7-22

57.0%3PT%32.0%

15-25FT15-18

60.0%FT%83.0%

26Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists16

8Turnovers10

5Steals3

4Blocks5

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Bailey	Guard	35	13-20	5-8	6-6	6	0	0	3	37
Tyson Acuff	Guard	29	5-7	1-1	2-2	3	4	0	0	13
Lathan Sommerville	C	27	3-7	0-0	3-3	6	0	0	0	9
Jamichael Davis	G	26	3-6	1-2	0-0	1	8	3	0	7
Dylan Grant	F	26	3-5	0-1	0-2	5	0	0	0	6
Zach Martini	Center	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Jeremiah Williams	G	15	0-1	0-0	3-6	0	2	0	0	3
Jordan Derkack	G	13	0-1	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	0	1
Bryce Dortch	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	1	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Leach	Not Available	31	8-12	3-5	4-4	0	4	0	0	23
Nick Martinelli	F	40	5-16	1-3	5-7	10	2	0	0	16
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	37	4-12	1-5	1-1	9	6	1	1	10
Matthew Nicholson	Center	30	3-4	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	1	8
Ty Berry	Guard	26	3-9	2-7	0-0	0	1	1	0	8
Angelo Ciaravino	G	18	1-4	0-2	3-4	3	2	1	3	5
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Justin Mullins	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Hunger	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

121.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency121.0

10.7Net Efficiency-10.7

65.3%Effective FG%48.3%

64.9%True Shooting %53.3%

12.5%Turnover Rate15.0%

51.0%Free Throw Rate30.5%

28.6%3-Point Rate37.3%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.