Nevada

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Nevada

61.7%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -161

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNevada 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreBoise State 78

Team Comparison

NevadaMetricBoise State

59.8MMH Power Index59.5

112.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

105.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

6.7Net Efficiency6.8

3.7Strength of Schedule4.2

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

67.7Tempo68.6

50.2%Effective FG%52.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

46.0%Free Throw Rate42.7%

4.5Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–112.4), net efficiency (6.8–6.7), strength of schedule (4.2–3.7), shooting efficiency (52.7–50.2).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.5), defensive efficiency (105.7–107.1), recent form (7.8–5.2).

Final

Nevada

56—66

Boise State

Boise State by 10 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NevadaTEAM STATBoise State

17-42FG20-49

40.0%FG%41.0%

6-183PT8-25

33.0%3PT%32.0%

16-24FT18-26

67.0%FT%69.0%

27Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists13

15Turnovers12

5Steals5

5Blocks—

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Davidson	F	34	6-10	3-4	3-5	4	0	0	0	18
Kobe Sanders	Guard	30	3-9	1-3	2-2	4	3	1	0	9
Justin McBride	F	22	3-6	1-3	1-4	3	1	1	3	8
Tyler Rolison	G	23	1-3	1-3	4-5	3	1	1	0	7
Xavier DuSell	Guard	22	2-7	0-4	2-2	2	0	2	0	6
Daniel Foster	Guard	29	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	4	0	1	3
Brandon Love	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	1	3
Chuck Bailey III	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tre Coleman	Forward	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
K.J. Hymes	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	30	7-12	2-5	3-4	5	0	1	19
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	38	5-8	2-4	6-9	2	5	1	18
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	37	4-13	2-7	7-8	3	1	0	17
Andrew Meadow	F	25	2-7	1-4	1-2	1	2	0	6
Julian Bowie	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	3
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	7	1-4	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	3
RJ Keene II	G	30	0-0	0-0	0-1	10	1	3	0
Pearson Carmichael	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

88.3Offensive Efficiency104.1

104.1Defensive Efficiency88.3

-15.8Net Efficiency15.8

47.6%Effective FG%49.0%

52.4%True Shooting %53.8%

24.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

57.1%Free Throw Rate53.1%

42.9%3-Point Rate51.0%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Boise State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.