Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%Georgia State

87.7%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -713

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 71

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreMarshall 84

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricMarshall

38.9MMH Power Index52

101.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

107.5Defensive Efficiency110.3

-6.2Net Efficiency4.4

-1.7Strength of Schedule0.9

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.5Tempo70.7

45.3%Effective FG%55.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.4%Free Throw Rate29.7%

-4.3Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–38.9), offensive efficiency (114.7–101.3), net efficiency (4.4–-6.2), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.3), ball security (15.6–16.5), free throw rate (37.4–29.7).

Final

Georgia State

85—81

Marshall

Georgia State by 4 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATMarshall

34-55FG32-66

62.0%FG%48.0%

9-183PT12-30

50.0%3PT%40.0%

8-9FT5-7

89.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds27

5Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists17

18Turnovers13

7Steals9

3Blocks3

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	37	11-17	2-3	3-3	5	4	0	3	27
Nick McMullen	Forward	37	7-10	0-0	0-1	8	1	1	0	14
Toneari Lane	G	35	5-9	2-6	2-2	3	1	1	0	14
Jelani Hamilton	G	33	5-10	2-4	1-1	0	6	4	0	13
Malachi Brown	G	37	3-6	2-4	2-2	6	1	0	0	10
Zarique Nutter	F	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Malik Ferguson	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dezayne Mingo	G	39	10-16	2-3	1-1	4	7	0	0	23
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	33	9-13	2-5	2-3	3	0	3	2	22
Jalen Speer	G	37	5-13	3-9	2-2	1	5	2	0	15
Mikal Dawson	Guard	30	4-11	4-9	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Nate Martin	Forward	27	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	0	4
Wyatt Fricks	F	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Cade Gibbs	Forward	11	1-3	0-1	0-1	3	1	1	1	2
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Kai Spears	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

117.6Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency117.6

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

70.0%Effective FG%57.6%

71.7%True Shooting %58.4%

24.9%Turnover Rate18.0%

16.4%Free Throw Rate10.6%

32.7%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.72Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.