New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%New Mexico State

65.8%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -192

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 72

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 77

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

51.2MMH Power Index52.5

108.9Offensive Efficiency109.6

104.5Defensive Efficiency105.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.9

-0.7Strength of Schedule0.4

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.9Tempo68.8

48.6%Effective FG%52.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.5–105.7), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), ball security (15.2–16.7), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.3).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.9), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.7).

Final

New Mexico State

61—57

Middle Tennessee

New Mexico State by 4 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

25-62FG23-53

40.0%FG%43.0%

3-183PT6-26

17.0%3PT%23.0%

8-12FT5-8

67.0%FT%63.0%

36Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists8

10Turnovers15

9Steals2

3Blocks6

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Carpenter	Forward	31	6-12	2-7	2-3	7	0	0	2	16
Peter Filipovity	Forward	29	6-12	0-1	0-0	9	3	4	0	12
Dionte Bostick	Guard	29	5-10	0-2	0-1	4	0	1	0	10
Christian Cook	Guard	28	1-11	1-6	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Zawdie Jackson	G	21	1-3	0-0	3-4	0	3	1	0	5
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	10	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	2	0	5
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	4
Jaden Harris	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Gabe Pickens	G	20	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camryn Weston	Guard	23	7-17	2-7	3-4	6	1	0	0	19
Jestin Porter	G	38	6-15	1-7	1-1	1	3	0	0	14
Torey Alston	F	27	4-5	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	1	8
Jlynn Counter	G	30	2-5	1-3	1-2	6	2	1	0	6
Chris Loofe	F	35	2-3	1-2	0-1	9	0	0	4	5
Justin Bufford	Guard	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Tre Green	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Alec Oglesby	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Fussell	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Johnson	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

94.9Offensive Efficiency88.6

88.6Defensive Efficiency94.9

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

42.7%Effective FG%49.1%

45.1%True Shooting %50.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate23.5%

19.4%Free Throw Rate15.1%

29.0%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.90Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.