Southern Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Southern Utah

81.9%UT Arlington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Arlington -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Arlington -452

UT Arlington

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 68

Projected Total147.1

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 79

Team Comparison

Southern UtahMetricUT Arlington

40.6MMH Power Index49.6

105.6Offensive Efficiency102.7

110.0Defensive Efficiency97.9

-4.4Net Efficiency4.8

-3.0Strength of Schedule-0.8

-3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

72.3Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%48.5%

19.6%Turnover Rate20.4%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

34.4%Free Throw Rate43.7%

-3.2Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–40.6), defensive efficiency (97.9–110.0), net efficiency (4.8–-4.4), strength of schedule (-0.8–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.6–102.7), recent form (-3.3–-3.9), shooting efficiency (52.6–48.5).

Final

Southern Utah

68—70

UT Arlington

UT Arlington by 2 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern UtahTEAM STATUT Arlington

27-56FG27-63

48.0%FG%43.0%

6-133PT6-19

46.0%3PT%32.0%

8-10FT10-18

80.0%FT%56.0%

37Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists20

13Turnovers6

3Steals5

4Blocks2

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Simpson	G	33	8-17	2-5	2-2	3	3	1	0	20
Jeffrey Langston Jr.	Forward	28	6-10	1-1	3-4	6	3	0	1	16
Hercy Miller	G	33	2-8	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	6
Brock Felder	F	28	2-2	0-0	2-2	13	1	0	1	6
Lorenzo Abellar	G	18	3-6	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Jamari Sibley	Forward	28	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	3	0	1	5
Malik Lamin	Center	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Xavier Sykes	Guard	5	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Kai Burdick	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Robert Jeter	Point Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Duncan Reid	Shooting Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lance Ware	Forward	37	10-17	0-0	6-14	6	2	2	0	26
Brody Robinson	G	38	7-15	2-5	4-4	5	10	0	0	20
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	24	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	22	2-3	1-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Jaden Wells	Guard	22	2-12	1-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Darius Burford	Guard	31	2-7	0-1	0-0	5	3	2	0	4
Kade Douglas	G	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Troy Hupstead	F	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	3	1	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

106.8Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency106.8

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

53.6%Effective FG%47.6%

56.0%True Shooting %48.9%

20.1%Turnover Rate9.6%

17.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

23.2%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.08Assist / Turnover3.33

Game Summary

UT Arlington won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.