Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.2%Tennessee State

31.8%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -214

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 78

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 73

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricLittle Rock

55.4MMH Power Index44

110.9Offensive Efficiency103.0

102.7Defensive Efficiency108.2

8.2Net Efficiency-5.2

-3.1Strength of Schedule0.5

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

72.4Tempo68.5

50.9%Effective FG%50.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.7%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

5.9Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (102.7–108.2), net efficiency (8.2–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.1).

Final

Tennessee State

72—70

Little Rock

Tennessee State by 2 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

30-58FG26-67

52.0%FG%39.0%

7-213PT6-14

33.0%3PT%43.0%

5-8FT12-13

63.0%FT%92.0%

41Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists9

20Turnovers10

7Steals11

2Blocks1

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Nkrumah	G	29	6-10	1-4	0-0	4	5	1	0	13
Justus Jackson	Guard	29	5-9	3-5	0-0	1	5	0	0	13
Brandon Weston	Guard	33	5-11	0-1	2-2	4	3	2	0	12
Antoine Lorick III	F	17	4-9	1-1	1-2	8	0	1	0	10
Ronald Jessamy	F	20	4-4	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	1	9
Travis Harper II	G	22	3-8	2-7	0-0	5	1	2	0	8
Carlous Williams	F	26	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	4
Josh Ogundele	F	15	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	3
Knute Wood	Guard	7	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ahmir Langlais	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Lewis	G	34	9-19	1-4	1-1	2	0	2	0	20
Johnathan Lawson	G	36	3-11	2-4	7-7	3	1	4	0	15
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	34	5-9	0-0	3-3	6	3	1	1	13
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	29	3-11	2-4	0-0	6	0	1	0	8
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	21	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	7
Ante Beljan	F	32	1-7	0-0	1-2	7	5	1	0	3
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Creed Williamson	Forward	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

103.6Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency103.6

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

57.8%Effective FG%43.3%

58.3%True Shooting %47.8%

29.1%Turnover Rate14.3%

13.8%Free Throw Rate19.4%

36.2%3-Point Rate20.9%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.