Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%Sacramento State

84.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -541

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 72

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreMontana State 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricMontana State

43MMH Power Index53.6

106.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

-5.9Net Efficiency9.5

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.7

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

73.2Tempo68.1

48.5%Effective FG%55.1%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

41.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-4.3Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.7), ball security (14.2–14.7), free throw rate (41.8–30.7).

Final

Sacramento State

58—70

Montana State

Montana State by 12 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATMontana State

20-57FG21-49

35.0%FG%43.0%

8-243PT9-28

33.0%3PT%32.0%

10-12FT19-26

83.0%FT%73.0%

38Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds4

6Assists14

15Turnovers8

4Steals10

1Blocks4

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Vaughns	Guard	29	5-11	4-7	5-5	2	1	0	0	19
EJ Neal Jr.	G	35	4-7	2-4	1-1	4	0	0	0	11
Jacob Holt	Forward	29	4-13	0-2	1-1	10	0	0	1	9
Bailey Nunn	G	34	3-11	1-4	1-3	7	2	1	0	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	24	3-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	6
Michael Wilson	G	31	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	3
Chudi Dioramma	F	12	0-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Leo Ricketts	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	30	5-7	2-3	8-10	2	2	1	2	20
Brandon Walker	F	24	6-12	2-3	3-6	5	1	1	0	17
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	29	4-10	2-7	2-2	5	1	1	0	12
Jabe Mullins	Guard	32	3-8	2-7	2-2	5	2	1	1	10
Jed Miller	G	25	0-1	0-1	3-4	5	4	3	0	3
Tyler Patterson	Guard	21	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
BJ Kolly	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	3
Bryce Zephir	G	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Sam Lecholat	Forward	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

87.1Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.1Defensive Efficiency87.1

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

42.1%Effective FG%52.0%

46.3%True Shooting %57.0%

22.2%Turnover Rate12.2%

21.1%Free Throw Rate53.1%

42.1%3-Point Rate57.1%

0.40Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Montana State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.