Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.7%Cal Poly

25.3%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL165.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -295

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 86

Projected Total165.9

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 80

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Bakersfield

46.5MMH Power Index32.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

-3.8Net Efficiency-12.4

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

76.6Tempo73.0

52.2%Effective FG%46.4%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-2.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (111.0–112.6), net efficiency (-3.8–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHball security (18.6–19.8), offensive rebounding (30.2–29.9), free throw rate (43.8–35.8).

Final

Cal Poly

90—81

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal Poly by 9 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

30-56FG26-61

54.0%FG%43.0%

7-213PT9-24

33.0%3PT%38.0%

23-30FT20-28

77.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists11

14Turnovers15

5Steals11

2Blocks4

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	34	10-14	4-5	4-4	6	1	2	1	28
Mac Riniker	Guard	26	4-8	0-1	6-7	5	0	2	1	14
Peter Bandelj	G	30	1-4	0-2	9-12	5	3	0	0	11
Jarred Hyder	Guard	35	4-9	1-5	1-3	5	3	0	0	10
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	15	3-5	1-3	3-4	2	1	0	0	10
Cayden Ward	G	16	4-9	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Isaac Jessup	Guard	24	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	4	0	0	5
Guzman Vasilic	G	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Ethan Menzies	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marvin McGhee III	G	36	11-22	5-14	2-3	2	3	2	0	29
Jemel Jones	G	27	6-16	1-3	4-4	3	1	1	0	17
Marvin McGhee IV	G	22	4-8	2-5	4-5	5	0	0	0	14
Corey Stephenson	G	32	3-7	1-1	0-0	7	4	4	0	7
CJ Hardy	G	29	0-4	0-1	5-6	3	3	2	0	5
Jaden Alexander	G	13	1-1	0-0	3-6	5	0	2	1	5
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	19	1-2	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	3	4
Kadar Waller	G	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Cameron Clark	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

121.1Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency121.1

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

59.8%Effective FG%50.0%

64.1%True Shooting %54.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate20.2%

53.6%Free Throw Rate45.9%

37.5%3-Point Rate39.3%

0.86Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.