UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%UC Davis

42.7%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -134

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 76

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC Riverside

48.4MMH Power Index41.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.7Defensive Efficiency110.1

3.5Net Efficiency-7.0

-1.9Strength of Schedule0.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

72.4Tempo70.7

52.3%Effective FG%49.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.5Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.1), net efficiency (3.5–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-1.9), offensive rebounding (28.5–26.7).

Final

UC Davis

58—60

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 2 • 59.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC Riverside

24-58FG22-52

41.0%FG%42.0%

5-193PT9-22

26.0%3PT%41.0%

5-6FT7-12

83.0%FT%58.0%

35Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists15

10Turnovers12

4Steals4

3Blocks4

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	32	8-25	1-4	3-3	8	2	1	0	20
Connor Sevilla	G	37	6-9	3-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	15
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	23	4-8	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Niko Rocak	F	27	4-6	0-1	0-0	10	4	0	2	8
Pablo Tamba	F	30	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	27	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	4	2	0	2
Nils Cooper	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	0
Isaiah Chappell	F	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jac Mani	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaleb Smith	F	23	4-7	4-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Rikus Schulte	F	19	5-6	0-1	0-1	5	0	1	1	10
Barrington Hargress	G	32	3-12	0-4	3-5	0	5	0	0	9
Isaiah Moses	G	25	3-8	3-7	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Gavin Davis	Guard	8	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	7
Joel Armotrading	C	24	1-4	0-0	2-4	9	1	1	1	4
Niyi Olabode	Guard	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Nate Pickens	G	25	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	2	3
Jack Whitbourn	C	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	0
Parker Strauss	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.8Possessions59.8

97.0Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency97.0

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

45.7%Effective FG%51.0%

47.7%True Shooting %52.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.8%

10.3%Free Throw Rate23.1%

32.8%3-Point Rate42.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 59.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.