Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Cal State Northridge

66.0%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -194

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 77

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 82

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Santa Barbara

50MMH Power Index51.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

2.1Net Efficiency7.1

-0.6Strength of Schedule-2.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

75.9Tempo68.5

51.0%Effective FG%54.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

1.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.3), net efficiency (7.1–2.1), shooting efficiency (54.8–51.0).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–106.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.0), recent form (1.8–-1.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

78—71

UC Santa Barbara

Cal State Northridge by 7 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

30-61FG22-51

49.0%FG%43.0%

9-243PT15-36

38.0%3PT%42.0%

9-16FT12-14

56.0%FT%86.0%

42Rebounds25

16Offensive Rebounds5

20Assists16

15Turnovers14

6Steals5

2Blocks4

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scotty Washington	G	35	7-14	4-6	3-4	4	0	0	0	21
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	33	8-15	2-8	0-1	2	2	1	0	18
PJ Fuller II	Guard	31	5-9	2-5	0-1	2	4	1	0	12
Mahmoud Fofana	F	30	4-6	0-0	4-5	9	2	0	0	12
Keonte Jones	G	29	3-4	0-0	0-1	12	7	1	0	6
Tyler Beard	Guard	19	2-9	1-4	1-2	5	5	2	1	6
Grady Lewis	F	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
Jordan Brinson	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	23	6-15	3-10	3-3	2	4	0	0	18
Jason Fontenet II	G	37	6-10	4-7	0-0	6	4	0	0	16
Cole Anderson	Guard	34	4-9	4-8	0-0	0	0	2	1	12
Max Murrell	Forward	29	3-9	3-9	0-0	5	3	2	0	9
Deuce Turner	G	20	1-4	1-2	3-4	1	2	0	0	6
Ariel Bland	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	2	4
Ben Shtolzberg	G	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	2	0	1	4
Kenny Pohto	Forward	32	0-2	0-0	2-3	3	1	0	0	2
Koat Keat Tong	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

116.1Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency116.1

10.4Net Efficiency-10.4

56.6%Effective FG%57.8%

56.9%True Shooting %61.6%

22.2%Turnover Rate21.0%

26.2%Free Throw Rate27.5%

39.3%3-Point Rate70.6%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.