Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Abilene Christian

90.7%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -975

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 63

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 78

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricCalifornia Baptist

42.4MMH Power Index58.3

101.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

104.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-3.0Net Efficiency7.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

69.6Tempo68.2

48.9%Effective FG%48.8%

20.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-2.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–42.4), offensive efficiency (106.5–101.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.1), net efficiency (7.5–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (48.9–48.8), free throw rate (42.0–37.0).

Final

Abilene Christian

60—83

California Baptist

California Baptist by 23 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

21-48FG29-56

44.0%FG%52.0%

3-103PT8-22

30.0%3PT%36.0%

15-23FT17-20

65.0%FT%85.0%

28Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists11

16Turnovers12

6Steals6

1Blocks5

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradyn Hubbard	F	25	5-8	1-2	4-5	8	0	1	1	15
Dontrez Williams	G	12	3-4	1-2	2-3	2	1	2	0	9
Leonardo Bettiol	F	25	3-6	0-0	2-5	1	3	2	0	8
Quion Williams	G	24	3-7	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Christian Alston	G	13	1-6	0-2	4-6	2	0	0	0	6
Ma'Shy Hill	F	10	2-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Rich Smith	G	23	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Yaniel Rivera	G	14	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	18	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jack Sawyer	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Colby Tanner	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cade Hornecker	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	28	8-13	3-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	21
AJ Braun	Forward	21	5-6	0-0	3-6	3	0	0	0	13
Kendal Coleman	Forward	21	4-7	1-2	3-3	7	0	0	3	12
Martel Williams	G	22	2-5	1-1	2-2	0	0	2	0	7
Adam Moussa	Guard	27	3-5	0-1	0-0	6	8	2	1	6
Javonte Johnson	Guard	19	2-8	1-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Bradey Henige	F	10	2-4	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	5
Sam Silverstein	G	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
Tylen Riley	G	4	0-0	0-0	4-4	2	1	0	0	4
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	19	1-6	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	1	3
Jalen Dollar	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jonathan Griman	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mouhamadou Dioum	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

91.3Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency91.3

-35.0Net Efficiency35.0

46.9%Effective FG%58.9%

50.9%True Shooting %63.4%

24.6%Turnover Rate18.0%

47.9%Free Throw Rate35.7%

20.8%3-Point Rate39.3%

0.44Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.