Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Dayton

78.0%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -355

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 71

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 82

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricSaint Louis

59.9MMH Power Index66.7

108.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

101.5Defensive Efficiency97.6

7.0Net Efficiency23.2

5.7Strength of Schedule0.3

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

68.3Tempo72.2

52.0%Effective FG%59.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

47.6%Free Throw Rate33.9%

4.8Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (120.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.5), net efficiency (23.2–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–0.3), recent form (6.4–0.1), ball security (16.9–17.1).

Final

Dayton

71—63

Saint Louis

Dayton by 8 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATSaint Louis

24-58FG23-49

41.0%FG%47.0%

11-283PT10-26

39.0%3PT%38.0%

12-16FT7-11

75.0%FT%64.0%

32Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists11

12Turnovers19

13Steals9

4Blocks8

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	35	7-13	4-8	1-1	2	2	2	0	19
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	36	5-10	2-6	2-3	4	3	3	0	14
Nate Santos	Forward	32	5-12	3-6	0-0	5	0	1	0	13
Posh Alexander	Guard	24	2-6	1-3	5-6	2	5	2	0	10
Amaël L'Etang	F	26	2-5	1-2	3-4	8	1	1	3	8
Zed Key	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	3
Malachi Smith	G	21	1-10	0-3	0-0	1	1	3	0	2
Jacob Conner	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jaiun Simon	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Isaac Jack	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	40	8-14	3-8	2-2	2	1	2	1	21
Isaiah Swope	Guard	36	6-12	3-8	0-0	5	3	3	0	15
Dylan Warlick	F	18	4-6	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	10
Kobe Johnson	Guard	35	2-4	2-3	3-3	6	2	1	1	9
Kalu Anya	F	32	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	2	4	4
Robbie Avila	C	32	1-7	0-2	2-6	10	3	1	2	4
Kilian Brockhoff	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amari McCottry	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency94.2

94.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

12.0Net Efficiency-12.0

50.9%Effective FG%57.1%

54.1%True Shooting %58.1%

18.0%Turnover Rate28.3%

27.6%Free Throw Rate22.4%

48.3%3-Point Rate53.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Dayton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.