Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Niagara

57.4%Canisius

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCanisius -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL132.5

MODEL MONEYLINECanisius -135

Canisius

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 65

Projected Total132.5

Projected ScoreCanisius 68

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricCanisius

35.8MMH Power Index33.9

100.8Offensive Efficiency97.1

112.4Defensive Efficiency108.8

-11.6Net Efficiency-11.7

-0.8Strength of Schedule-1.8

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.0

63.4Tempo64.8

50.9%Effective FG%46.8%

18.8%Turnover Rate19.6%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

27.3%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-7.4Average Margin-7.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Niagara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNiagara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–33.9), offensive efficiency (100.8–97.1), net efficiency (-11.6–-11.7), strength of schedule (-0.8–-1.8).

Canisius COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.8–112.4), offensive rebounding (29.1–24.9), free throw rate (32.4–27.3).

Final

Niagara

64—63

Canisius

Niagara by 1 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATCanisius

24-47FG24-44

51.0%FG%55.0%

6-183PT6-12

33.0%3PT%50.0%

10-15FT9-17

67.0%FT%53.0%

26Rebounds24

5Offensive Rebounds4

10Assists10

15Turnovers16

9Steals9

1Blocks3

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaeden Marshall	G	26	6-10	1-5	5-6	4	1	0	0	18
Jahari Williamson	G	28	5-7	3-5	3-3	1	1	0	0	16
Justice Smith	Forward	28	5-9	0-1	2-4	2	0	0	0	12
Justin Page	G	33	2-4	1-2	0-2	5	2	0	0	5
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	25	2-5	1-4	0-0	6	3	3	0	5
Josiah Davis	G	23	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	3	0	4
Damondre McKnight	Guard	16	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	1	4
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Will Shortt	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zion Russell	G	6	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Canisius

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul McMillan IV	Guard	37	11-20	1-3	4-8	3	4	3	0	27
Dylan Godfrey	F	30	5-9	0-3	2-3	2	2	0	1	12
Gianni Thompson	Forward	14	2-2	1-1	3-6	2	0	0	1	8
Anthony Benard	G	32	2-3	2-2	0-0	2	3	5	0	6
Tana Kopa	Guard	37	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	0	1	1	5
Evan van der Plas	F	11	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cameron Palesse	G	38	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Maji David-Maji	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

99.8Offensive Efficiency98.3

98.3Defensive Efficiency99.8

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

57.4%Effective FG%61.4%

59.1%True Shooting %60.5%

23.4%Turnover Rate25.0%

31.9%Free Throw Rate38.6%

38.3%3-Point Rate27.3%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Niagara won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.