Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Siena

54.9%Marist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarist -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL133.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMarist -122

Marist

19-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 65

Projected Total133.2

Projected ScoreMarist 68

Team Comparison

SienaMetricMarist

53.8MMH Power Index51

109.2Offensive Efficiency104.3

102.2Defensive Efficiency95.6

7.0Net Efficiency8.7

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.2

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.9

64.4Tempo66.8

50.7%Effective FG%49.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

34.9%Free Throw Rate26.1%

4.5Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–51.0), offensive efficiency (109.2–104.3), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.2), recent form (3.0–2.9).

Marist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.6–102.2), net efficiency (8.7–7.0), average scoring margin (5.8–4.5).

Final

Siena

67—72

Marist

Marist by 5 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATMarist

23-55FG28-62

42.0%FG%45.0%

6-213PT8-24

29.0%3PT%33.0%

15-18FT8-13

83.0%FT%62.0%

30Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists16

9Turnovers7

6Steals5

4Blocks1

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	36	7-11	2-4	3-4	8	0	2	0	19
Justice Shoats	G	34	6-16	0-0	7-7	0	2	2	0	19
Major Freeman	G	36	4-11	3-6	2-2	3	1	1	0	13
Brendan Coyle	F	28	1-5	0-3	3-5	6	4	1	0	5
Myles Wilmoth	F	22	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	4	5
Devin Brafford	F	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Reid Ducharme	G	23	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Michael Ojo	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyle Winters	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tajae Jones	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Lewis	G	35	9-16	1-3	0-1	8	3	0	0	19
Josh Pascarelli	G	36	6-12	2-5	2-2	1	3	0	0	16
Jackson Price	Forward	34	4-12	2-7	3-5	7	3	1	0	13
Jaden Daughtry	F	27	4-7	2-2	3-4	10	2	2	0	13
Martin Kawa	G	13	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Jadin Collins-Roberts	G	26	2-3	0-1	0-1	6	3	1	0	4
Trace Salton	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Jason Schofield	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Travis Roberts	SG	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Caleb Mackrey	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Parby Kabamba	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency104.9

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

47.3%Effective FG%51.6%

52.7%True Shooting %52.8%

13.5%Turnover Rate11.4%

32.7%Free Throw Rate21.0%

38.2%3-Point Rate38.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Marist won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.