Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%Creighton

81.6%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -443

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 70

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreVillanova 81

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricVillanova

50.6MMH Power Index59.4

109.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.5Defensive Efficiency105.9

-0.5Net Efficiency8.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.4

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

68.9Tempo67.3

53.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

29.0%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-0.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–50.6), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.5), net efficiency (8.8–-0.5).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.4).

Final

Creighton

62—60

Villanova

Creighton by 2 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATVillanova

24-51FG23-58

47.0%FG%40.0%

6-263PT3-17

23.0%3PT%18.0%

8-14FT11-12

57.0%FT%92.0%

40Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds3

14Assists7

18Turnovers6

2Steals13

3Blocks—

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	39	9-11	0-1	4-5	8	2	0	1	22
Jamiya Neal	Guard	40	6-15	1-7	0-3	9	2	1	0	13
Steven Ashworth	Guard	32	4-9	3-7	2-2	7	7	1	0	13
Jackson McAndrew	F	23	3-6	2-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	8
Jasen Green	F	32	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	2	3
Ty Davis	G	8	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Isaac Traudt	F	16	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Fedor Zugic	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Mason Miller	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Fred King	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	25	10-17	1-2	3-3	4	0	5	24
Eric Dixon	Forward	38	5-14	1-5	6-7	5	2	1	17
Jordan Longino	Guard	39	4-11	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	8
Tyler Perkins	G	33	1-2	0-1	2-2	3	0	3	4
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	26	2-8	0-3	0-0	1	4	1	4
Jordann Dumont	F	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	3
Enoch Boakye	Forward	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0
Kris Parker	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

91.6Offensive Efficiency88.6

88.6Defensive Efficiency91.6

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

52.9%Effective FG%42.2%

53.8%True Shooting %47.1%

26.2%Turnover Rate9.0%

27.5%Free Throw Rate20.7%

51.0%3-Point Rate29.3%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Creighton won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.