Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%Georgia State

90.1%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -15.1

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -910

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 63

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreApp State 78

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricApp State

38.9MMH Power Index54.2

101.3Offensive Efficiency110.9

107.5Defensive Efficiency101.7

-6.2Net Efficiency9.2

-1.7Strength of Schedule-4.2

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

69.5Tempo64.9

45.3%Effective FG%51.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

37.4%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–101.3), defensive efficiency (101.7–107.5), net efficiency (9.2–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.2).

Final

Georgia State

76—80

App State

App State by 4 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATApp State

31-66FG29-57

47.0%FG%51.0%

9-203PT8-18

45.0%3PT%44.0%

5-11FT14-21

45.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists16

8Turnovers9

7Steals5

4Blocks3

19Fouls10

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	39	10-23	3-6	1-2	6	3	0	2	24
Malachi Brown	G	32	6-9	2-5	1-1	5	3	3	0	15
Toneari Lane	G	37	4-12	3-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	11
Nick McMullen	Forward	31	5-6	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	1	10
Zarique Nutter	F	24	4-7	0-0	2-6	4	2	1	0	10
Jelani Hamilton	G	27	2-8	1-2	1-2	6	3	3	1	6
Malik Ferguson	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	39	9-14	4-7	3-4	0	6	3	0	25
Dior Conners	G	30	6-9	4-7	2-2	3	1	0	0	18
CJ Huntley	Forward	36	7-11	0-1	2-4	14	2	0	2	16
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	32	5-12	0-0	2-5	8	1	0	1	12
Alonzo Dodd	G	35	1-4	0-1	5-6	3	5	0	0	7
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Luke Wilson	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jamil Muttilib	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	3	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

110.0Offensive Efficiency115.8

115.8Defensive Efficiency110.0

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

53.8%Effective FG%57.9%

53.4%True Shooting %59.7%

11.4%Turnover Rate13.2%

16.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

30.3%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.88Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

App State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.