Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Drake

80.6%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -415

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 69

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 79

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricSouthern Illinois

46.4MMH Power Index54.6

109.5Offensive Efficiency103.4

109.1Defensive Efficiency98.5

0.4Net Efficiency4.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.6

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

68.6Tempo70.6

52.2%Effective FG%49.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.4%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.2Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–46.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–109.1), net efficiency (4.9–0.4), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–103.4), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5), ball security (14.9–17.0).

Final

Drake

75—65

Southern Illinois

Drake by 10 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

25-46FG23-45

54.0%FG%51.0%

6-153PT4-12

40.0%3PT%33.0%

19-28FT15-19

68.0%FT%79.0%

23Rebounds25

10Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists7

12Turnovers16

11Steals5

2Blocks1

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	11-17	3-4	5-7	4	5	1	0	30
Tavion Banks	G	26	7-9	0-2	7-9	5	3	4	0	21
Daniel Abreu	Forward	40	3-7	1-3	5-8	2	2	1	2	12
Mitch Mascari	Guard	40	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Kael Combs	G	8	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Isaia Howard	G	28	0-3	0-0	2-4	3	2	4	0	2
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Cam Manyawu	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Nate Ferguson	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	40	8-13	4-6	2-3	2	1	0	0	22
Ali Dibba	G	38	8-14	0-2	4-4	1	1	3	0	20
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	35	3-8	0-1	3-4	4	2	1	0	9
Rolyns Aligbe	F	23	3-3	0-0	1-2	10	1	0	1	7
Jorge Moreno	F	8	0-2	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	4
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Drew Steffe	G	34	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	1
Sheridan Sharp	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davion Sykes	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

122.5Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency122.5

16.3Net Efficiency-16.3

60.9%Effective FG%55.6%

63.2%True Shooting %60.2%

19.6%Turnover Rate26.2%

60.9%Free Throw Rate42.2%

32.6%3-Point Rate26.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Drake won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.