Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Lafayette

82.3%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -465

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 69

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreColgate 80

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricColgate

39.6MMH Power Index48.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency111.7

110.3Defensive Efficiency109.0

-7.4Net Efficiency2.7

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

67.5Tempo68.4

49.4%Effective FG%54.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.0%

-5.0Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colgate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColgate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (111.7–102.9), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (2.7–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.0), free throw rate (33.0–30.0).

Final

Lafayette

76—61

Colgate

Lafayette by 15 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATColgate

26-52FG24-56

50.0%FG%43.0%

7-223PT8-22

32.0%3PT%36.0%

17-23FT5-7

74.0%FT%71.0%

29Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists16

9Turnovers15

8Steals3

4Blocks2

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	31	6-10	3-5	5-6	9	0	1	0	20
Alex Chaikin	G	35	6-11	1-5	5-5	3	2	2	0	18
Mark Butler	G	38	5-7	0-0	3-4	4	6	3	1	13
Andrew Phillips	G	32	4-10	1-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	10
Justin Vander Baan	C	31	2-7	1-4	3-4	7	3	1	3	8
Ryan Pettit	G	17	2-3	1-2	0-2	1	2	1	0	5
Malik Rasul	F	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Misha Bednostin	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luka Savicevic	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeff Woodward	Forward	25	5-9	0-0	1-2	5	3	0	1	11
Josh Ahayere	G	16	4-6	3-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	29	3-9	1-4	2-2	3	3	2	0	9
Parker Jones	G	28	3-5	1-2	1-1	6	2	0	0	8
Jalen Cox	G	27	3-9	1-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	7
Chandler Baker	Guard	21	3-8	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	7
Julian Scott	Guard	16	1-2	0-0	1-1	5	2	0	0	3
Kyle Carlesimo	G	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Brady Cummins	G	14	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Sam Wright	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	0
Blake Forrest	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

120.4Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency120.4

23.8Net Efficiency-23.8

56.7%Effective FG%50.0%

60.4%True Shooting %51.4%

14.1%Turnover Rate24.1%

44.2%Free Throw Rate12.5%

42.3%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.