Army

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%Army

85.6%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -594

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArmy 68

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreAmerican University 81

Team Comparison

ArmyMetricAmerican University

36.8MMH Power Index48.2

104.8Offensive Efficiency110.6

112.1Defensive Efficiency105.8

-7.3Net Efficiency4.8

-3.3Strength of Schedule-4.3

-10.6Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.9Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%52.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

26.5%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-5.1Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–36.8), offensive efficiency (110.6–104.8), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.1), net efficiency (4.8–-7.3).

Army COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.3–-4.3), offensive rebounding (31.0–28.0).

Final

Army

68—71

American University

American University by 3 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArmyTEAM STATAmerican University

26-61FG26-53

43.0%FG%49.0%

6-263PT9-25

23.0%3PT%36.0%

10-14FT10-16

71.0%FT%63.0%

28Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists12

7Turnovers15

8Steals4

1Blocks1

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Army

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Curry	G	38	7-15	4-11	1-1	8	2	4	0	19
Jalen Rucker	Guard	37	7-18	1-7	0-0	1	3	0	0	15
Josh Scovens	G	33	4-10	0-2	4-7	9	2	0	0	12
AJ Allenspach	Forward	17	4-7	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Tate Laczkowski	F	16	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	1	7
Isaiah Caldwell	Guard	25	0-2	0-1	3-4	2	0	2	0	3
Jacen Holloway	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jorn Everson	F	6	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Blake Barker	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kevin McCarthy	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kendall Hailey	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Dayon Polk	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	28	7-11	4-6	2-2	8	1	1	0	20
Elijah Stephens	Guard	33	5-13	2-5	2-3	6	4	0	0	14
Colin Smalls	Guard	27	4-9	1-5	2-4	1	2	0	0	11
Greg Jones	F	30	4-6	0-1	1-1	6	0	2	0	9
Matt Mayock	F	22	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Wyatt Nausadis	G	10	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Julen Iturbe	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Lincoln Ball	Guard	32	0-4	0-3	1-2	8	3	1	1	1
Eric Michaels	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Adrian Samuels	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

110.2Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency110.2

-4.9Net Efficiency4.9

47.5%Effective FG%57.5%

50.3%True Shooting %58.6%

11.4%Turnover Rate24.4%

23.0%Free Throw Rate30.2%

42.6%3-Point Rate47.2%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

American University won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.