South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%South Dakota State

46.3%North Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota State -116

North Dakota

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 77

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 77

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricNorth Dakota

49.6MMH Power Index43.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

106.9Defensive Efficiency110.2

3.7Net Efficiency-1.0

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.4

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2

68.2Tempo70.1

52.6%Effective FG%50.1%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.0%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

30.3%Free Throw Rate37.5%

2.6Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–43.7), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (106.9–110.2), net efficiency (3.7–-1.0).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHball security (14.0–16.2), free throw rate (37.5–30.3).

Final

South Dakota State

75—80

North Dakota

North Dakota by 5 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATNorth Dakota

28-65FG32-58

43.0%FG%55.0%

10-273PT10-19

37.0%3PT%53.0%

9-13FT6-9

69.0%FT%67.0%

44Rebounds23

19Offensive Rebounds3

13Assists7

15Turnovers6

6Steals8

2Blocks2

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Sayler	G	28	6-16	3-11	5-5	3	0	2	0	20
Kalen Garry	G	33	4-8	3-5	1-3	5	4	1	0	12
Owen Larson	G	31	3-7	2-2	2-2	4	5	2	0	10
Oscar Cluff	C	30	5-12	0-0	0-1	19	3	0	0	10
Matthew Mors	F	23	3-8	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Stoney Hadnot	F	19	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	2	7
Jaden Jackson	G	15	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Isaac Lindsey	Guard	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Damon Wilkinson	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eli King	G	31	10-16	3-5	1-3	1	2	2	1	24
Treysen Eaglestaff	F	35	7-19	3-7	2-2	3	0	2	1	19
Mier Panoam	G	30	6-9	0-1	0-0	2	0	3	0	12
Amar Kuljuhovic	G	24	5-5	1-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	11
Mambourou Mara	F	20	3-3	3-3	1-2	0	0	0	0	10
Deng Mayar	F	21	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Brian Mathews	Forward	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Reggie Thomas	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dariyus Woodson	F	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zach Kraft	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

113.1Offensive Efficiency120.7

120.7Defensive Efficiency113.1

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

50.8%Effective FG%63.8%

52.7%True Shooting %64.2%

22.3%Turnover Rate9.2%

20.0%Free Throw Rate15.5%

41.5%3-Point Rate32.8%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

North Dakota won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.