Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Murray State

55.7%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -126

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreMissouri State 81

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricMissouri State

53.6MMH Power Index51.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.0Net Efficiency2.1

3.5Strength of Schedule0.5

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

72.3Tempo67.9

54.0%Effective FG%51.8%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

39.1%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–51.1), offensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), net efficiency (4.0–2.1), strength of schedule (3.5–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.4–111.0), recent form (-2.1–-9.5), offensive rebounding (33.0–32.7).

Final

Murray State

56—77

Missouri State

Missouri State by 21 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATMissouri State

20-51FG29-48

39.0%FG%60.0%

4-193PT12-18

21.0%3PT%67.0%

12-22FT7-17

55.0%FT%41.0%

27Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists14

17Turnovers20

10Steals7

3Blocks4

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	37	3-8	1-4	4-5	1	3	0	0	11
AJ Ferguson	Guard	34	4-10	0-1	3-7	8	0	3	0	11
Kylen Milton	Guard	25	3-6	0-2	4-7	2	1	0	0	10
Alden Applewhite	F	22	4-6	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Terence Harcum	Guard	36	3-12	1-7	0-2	4	2	5	0	7
Nick Ellington	F	17	2-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	2	5
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Jordan McCullum	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Morgan	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chiang Ring	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaxton King	G	31	7-8	5-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	19
Dez White	G	36	6-12	3-7	1-2	5	6	0	1	16
Vincent Brady II	G	29	5-7	2-3	2-3	4	2	2	0	14
Chase Martin	Guard	25	4-7	2-2	2-4	4	0	2	0	12
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	25	3-6	0-0	2-8	9	4	1	2	8
Jalen Hampton	G	25	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Allen Udemadu	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Wesley Oba	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Logan Epes	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

82.0Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency82.0

-30.7Net Efficiency30.7

43.1%Effective FG%72.9%

45.6%True Shooting %68.7%

24.8%Turnover Rate29.4%

43.1%Free Throw Rate35.4%

37.3%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.35Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.