Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Northwestern State

54.6%East Texas A&M

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Texas A&M -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.7

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Texas A&M -120

East Texas A&M

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Projected Total139.7

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 71

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricEast Texas A&M

41.3MMH Power Index38.4

104.0Offensive Efficiency101.2

109.0Defensive Efficiency107.5

-5.0Net Efficiency-6.3

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.1

63.6Tempo69.3

49.5%Effective FG%50.7%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

41.2%Free Throw Rate31.9%

-3.2Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.4), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.2), net efficiency (-5.0–-6.3), recent form (-4.9–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.5).

Final

Northwestern State

50—72

East Texas A&M

East Texas A&M by 22 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATEast Texas A&M

18-59FG26-54

31.0%FG%48.0%

3-163PT12-27

19.0%3PT%44.0%

11-15FT8-8

73.0%FT%100.0%

41Rebounds29

19Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists22

18Turnovers13

7Steals9

3Blocks4

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Warren	Forward	19	5-10	0-1	3-4	8	0	3	0	13
Jon Sanders II	G	20	3-13	1-3	3-4	2	1	0	0	10
Addison Patterson	F	26	2-5	0-2	2-2	1	5	1	1	6
Willie Williams	F	26	2-6	0-0	1-1	8	0	0	0	5
Love Bettis	G	22	1-10	0-3	2-2	0	1	1	0	4
Justin Redmond	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Landyn Jumawan	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jerald Colonel	F	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	10	2	1	2	2
Micah Thomas	G	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dontae Walker	G	10	0-4	0-2	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Mitch Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scooter Williams	G	19	5-10	2-7	4-4	3	2	1	1	16
Khaliq Abdul-Mateen	Guard	23	4-6	4-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	12
KC Ugwuakazi	F	21	5-5	0-0	0-0	8	3	0	1	10
TJ Thomas	Guard	25	3-4	2-3	0-0	1	4	0	0	8
Yusef Salih	Guard	15	2-4	2-3	2-2	0	1	1	0	8
Camerin James	Guard	22	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	4	1	6
Josh Taylor	F	18	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Tay Mosher	F	16	1-7	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	1	3
Evan Phelps	G	26	0-4	0-2	2-2	2	6	1	0	2
Chris Adlam	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Mykol Sanchez-Vega	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Taylor	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

77.0Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency77.0

-33.9Net Efficiency33.9

33.1%Effective FG%59.3%

37.8%True Shooting %62.3%

27.6%Turnover Rate20.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate14.8%

27.1%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.69

Game Summary

East Texas A&M won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.