Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.1%Fresno State

86.9%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -663

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 69

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreBoise State 81

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricBoise State

47.1MMH Power Index59.5

104.9Offensive Efficiency113.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.1

0.0Net Efficiency6.8

1.5Strength of Schedule4.2

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

69.4Tempo68.6

51.3%Effective FG%52.7%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

35.5%Free Throw Rate42.7%

0.0Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.8–0.0), strength of schedule (4.2–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–107.1).

Final

Fresno State

60—82

Boise State

Boise State by 22 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATBoise State

21-55FG30-62

38.0%FG%48.0%

4-173PT11-29

24.0%3PT%38.0%

14-17FT11-12

82.0%FT%92.0%

28Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists18

13Turnovers11

4Steals4

5Blocks4

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Amuneke	G	26	6-13	2-6	2-2	3	1	0	0	16
Alex Crawford	F	38	6-9	0-2	3-3	2	4	0	1	15
Elijah Price	F	31	3-10	0-2	5-6	3	1	1	3	11
Zaon Collins	G	35	3-7	1-2	2-2	7	2	0	0	9
Jalen Weaver	Guard	32	3-9	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	8
Mor Seck	C	21	0-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	1	1	1
Jasir Tremble	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Joshua Bonga	Guard	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Meadow	F	29	7-13	3-8	3-3	3	1	1	1	20
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	35	5-9	3-6	0-0	1	7	1	0	13
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	33	5-9	0-2	3-4	9	1	0	1	13
Javan Buchanan	F	25	3-5	1-1	3-3	6	1	1	1	10
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	16	4-7	0-0	2-2	6	3	0	0	10
Julian Bowie	G	23	3-8	3-7	0-0	4	3	0	0	9
Pearson Carmichael	F	12	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	1	0
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

88.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency88.4

-32.4Net Efficiency32.4

41.8%Effective FG%57.3%

47.6%True Shooting %60.6%

19.1%Turnover Rate16.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate19.4%

30.9%3-Point Rate46.8%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Boise State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.