Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Georgia Southern

64.5%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -182

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 76

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 81

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricSouthern Miss

49.1MMH Power Index49.9

112.3Offensive Efficiency106.1

110.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

1.7Net Efficiency1.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

72.0Tempo70.4

52.1%Effective FG%49.9%

14.5%Turnover Rate18.4%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.5%Free Throw Rate43.9%

1.2Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–49.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–110.6), strength of schedule (-0.2–-2.2), recent form (3.8–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–106.1), net efficiency (1.7–1.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–49.9).

Final

Georgia Southern

68—72

Southern Miss

Southern Miss by 4 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATSouthern Miss

24-64FG26-57

38.0%FG%46.0%

13-333PT3-13

39.0%3PT%23.0%

7-12FT17-21

58.0%FT%81.0%

35Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists14

17Turnovers15

11Steals10

3Blocks7

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adante' Holiman	G	31	7-14	6-12	4-6	4	2	4	0	24
Bradley Douglas	G	29	4-10	2-5	0-0	1	1	3	0	10
Tyson Brown	F	25	4-7	0-0	1-3	12	0	0	1	9
Eren Banks	G	21	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	2	2	0	8
Dontae Horne	G	22	2-7	1-2	2-3	3	2	0	0	7
Collin Kuhl	F	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	4
Nate Brafford	F	19	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Nakavieon White	F	14	1-8	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	1	3
Micah Smith	F	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Braylhan Thomas	G	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denijay Harris	Forward	34	6-12	0-2	7-8	6	1	1	2	19
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	33	6-11	0-2	1-2	6	4	3	1	13
Andre Curbelo	Guard	32	4-11	1-1	3-3	7	7	4	0	12
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	28	5-7	0-1	1-2	8	1	0	1	11
Christian Watson	G	31	2-5	1-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Christian Reid	Guard	9	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2	4
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	14	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	3
John Wade III	Guard	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

91.4Offensive Efficiency96.8

96.8Defensive Efficiency91.4

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

47.7%Effective FG%48.2%

48.8%True Shooting %53.8%

22.8%Turnover Rate20.3%

18.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

51.6%3-Point Rate22.8%

0.47Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Southern Miss won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.