Air Force logo

Air Force

3-29
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
6.7%Air Force
93.3%San José State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADSan José State -17.6
PROJECTED TOTAL147.0
MODEL MONEYLINESan José State -1393
San José State logo

San José State

9-24
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreAir Force 65
Projected Total147.0
Projected ScoreSan José State 82

Team Comparison

23MMH Power Index42
91.3Offensive Efficiency108.7
118.5Defensive Efficiency118.5
-27.2Net Efficiency-9.8
6.2Strength of Schedule1.8
-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6
67.4Tempo66.2
49.0%Effective FG%50.8%
21.9%Turnover Rate15.2%
21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.7%
35.9%Free Throw Rate34.2%
-18.3Average Margin-6.5
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

San José State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan José State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.0–23.0), offensive efficiency (108.7–91.3), net efficiency (-9.8–-27.2), recent form (-8.6–-33.5).
Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–1.8), free throw rate (35.9–34.2).
Final
Air Force logo
Air Force
64—75
San José State logo
San José State
San José State by 11 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATSan José State
22-60FG26-52
37.0%FG%50.0%
7-173PT10-20
41.0%3PT%50.0%
13-17FT13-22
76.0%FT%59.0%
39Rebounds32
17Offensive Rebounds8
9Assists16
13Turnovers11
4Steals5
3Blocks10
18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Air Force
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Ethan TaylorGuard385-155-100-051110015
Luke KearneyF354-101-24-421000013
Kyle MarshallG383-80-04-5122010010
Caleb WalkerF205-100-00-041100010
Wesley CelichowskiC193-101-23-432010010
Yoda OkeGuard102-40-20-02000004
Jeffrey MillsGuard270-20-01-24220001
Byron BrownGuard80-00-01-20000001
Sam SpringerF40-00-00-00000000
Beau BeckerForward10-10-10-00000000
San José State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Josh UdujeGuard319-163-63-642100024
Latrell DavisG257-83-31-301100018
Will McClendonG314-143-84-562200015
Donavan YapGuard322-30-04-43200008
Robert VaiholaF301-40-01-28517003
Jermaine WashingtonG201-21-10-24300003
Sadaidriene HallForward211-30-20-03101002
Chol MarialCenter101-20-00-03002002

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8
98.8Offensive Efficiency115.7
115.7Defensive Efficiency98.8
-17.0Net Efficiency17.0
42.5%Effective FG%59.6%
47.0%True Shooting %60.0%
20.3%Turnover Rate16.8%
28.3%Free Throw Rate42.3%
28.3%3-Point Rate38.5%
0.69Assist / Turnover1.45
Game Summary
San José State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.