Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Sacramento State

68.5%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana -217

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreMontana 83

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricMontana

43MMH Power Index45.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency108.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-5.9Net Efficiency3.8

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

73.2Tempo71.2

48.5%Effective FG%56.3%

14.2%Turnover Rate19.2%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-4.3Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (108.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.0), net efficiency (3.8–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–19.2), offensive rebounding (25.1–21.9).

Final

Sacramento State

59—87

Montana

Montana by 28 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATMontana

20-54FG32-57

37.0%FG%56.0%

5-233PT12-26

22.0%3PT%46.0%

14-19FT11-11

74.0%FT%100.0%

26Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds8

5Assists21

9Turnovers8

6Steals4

—Blocks5

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Julian Vaughns	Guard	36	5-12	1-3	2-2	5	2	0	13
Leo Ricketts	Guard	24	4-8	2-5	3-3	2	0	2	13
Chudi Dioramma	F	18	3-6	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	9
Jacob Holt	Forward	22	4-11	0-2	0-3	6	0	1	8
Michael Wilson	G	26	1-4	0-3	5-6	5	1	1	7
EJ Neal Jr.	G	33	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	6
Bailey Nunn	G	16	1-6	0-4	1-1	0	0	0	3
Lachlan Brewer	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0
Deonte Williams	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kai Johnson	Guard	18	5-6	2-2	3-3	2	1	0	1	15
Austin Patterson	Guard	22	4-7	3-6	0-0	2	3	0	0	11
Joe Pridgen	Guard	18	5-7	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	11
Malik Messina-Moore	G	25	3-9	1-4	2-2	6	6	2	0	9
Money Williams	G	24	3-6	3-4	0-0	5	3	0	1	9
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	15	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	8
Jeremiah Dargan	Guard	4	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	6
Jalen Foy	Forward	9	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Brandon Whitney	Guard	25	1-4	0-2	2-2	2	3	0	0	4
Zack Davidson	F	6	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Amari Jedkins	F	18	1-3	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	1	3
Jensen Bradtke	Forward	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Adam Shoff	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

95.0Offensive Efficiency140.1

140.1Defensive Efficiency95.0

-45.1Net Efficiency45.1

41.7%Effective FG%66.7%

46.8%True Shooting %69.9%

14.5%Turnover Rate12.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate19.3%

42.6%3-Point Rate45.6%

0.56Assist / Turnover2.63

Game Summary

Montana won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.