Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%Houston Christian

74.6%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -294

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 68

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 76

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricIncarnate Word

39.5MMH Power Index44.6

102.5Offensive Efficiency112.0

110.3Defensive Efficiency111.2

-7.8Net Efficiency0.8

-0.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

65.4Tempo66.3

49.9%Effective FG%52.2%

19.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

37.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-5.1Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–39.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–102.5), net efficiency (0.8–-7.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.9).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–111.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-3.6), recent form (-8.2–-8.5).

Final

Houston Christian

64—74

Incarnate Word

Incarnate Word by 10 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATIncarnate Word

26-47FG29-60

55.0%FG%48.0%

6-113PT7-21

55.0%3PT%33.0%

6-12FT9-11

50.0%FT%82.0%

23Rebounds34

3Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists7

11Turnovers7

5Steals6

5Blocks4

10Fouls12

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peyton Rogers	Forward	35	6-8	2-2	2-2	8	1	0	1	16
Elijah Brooks	G	35	5-8	0-0	3-4	5	5	1	0	13
Julian Mackey	G	33	5-13	1-2	1-2	3	2	1	1	12
Bryson Dawkins	G	32	4-6	0-1	0-4	5	0	1	0	8
Trent Johnson	F	35	3-4	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	2	7
D'Aundre Samuels	G	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Porter Bazil	SF	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Pierce Bazil	PG	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mason McBride	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	40	11-16	4-6	3-3	3	5	1	0	29
Dylan Hayman	Forward	37	6-14	0-2	2-2	5	0	0	0	14
Davion Bailey	G	36	5-16	3-12	0-0	5	1	2	1	13
Jordan Pyke	F	30	4-7	0-0	4-4	6	1	1	2	12
Marcus Glover	F	24	2-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	1	0	4
Jayden Williams	C	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lamin Sabally	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Harrison Reede	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

105.8Offensive Efficiency122.3

122.3Defensive Efficiency105.8

-16.5Net Efficiency16.5

61.7%Effective FG%54.2%

60.7%True Shooting %56.7%

18.1%Turnover Rate11.6%

25.5%Free Throw Rate18.3%

23.4%3-Point Rate35.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Incarnate Word won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.