North Florida

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%North Florida

79.0%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -376

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 75

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreJacksonville 86

Team Comparison

North FloridaMetricJacksonville

36.3MMH Power Index43.6

109.4Offensive Efficiency109.8

121.1Defensive Efficiency110.3

-11.7Net Efficiency-0.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule-4.8

-9.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

72.8Tempo66.6

53.6%Effective FG%51.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

29.5%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-8.6Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–36.3), offensive efficiency (109.8–109.4), defensive efficiency (110.3–121.1), net efficiency (-0.5–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-4.8), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.7).

Final

North Florida

81—78

Jacksonville

North Florida by 3 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North FloridaTEAM STATJacksonville

30-64FG28-73

47.0%FG%38.0%

15-353PT7-20

43.0%3PT%35.0%

6-13FT15-22

46.0%FT%68.0%

36Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds18

18Assists13

16Turnovers11

4Steals11

1Blocks5

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Liam Murphy	F	26	7-18	4-12	0-0	2	1	0	0	18
Kamrin Oriol	G	20	5-10	4-8	0-0	3	0	2	0	14
Jasai Miles	G	34	3-9	3-7	4-5	10	4	0	0	13
Nate Lliteras	Guard	33	5-10	2-4	0-1	8	2	0	0	12
Jaylen Smith	G	25	3-6	2-4	1-4	0	5	1	0	9
Josh Harris	F	22	4-6	0-0	1-2	8	1	1	1	9
Ametri Moss	G	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	6
Oscar Berry	Guard	25	0-0	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	36	10-31	2-9	4-4	8	6	2	0	26
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	33	6-14	3-7	4-6	8	0	0	1	19
Jakari Spence	Guard	27	3-6	0-0	2-2	2	4	2	0	8
Kendall Munson	Forward	25	3-6	0-0	2-4	5	0	1	2	8
Stephon Payne	F	15	2-5	0-0	3-6	8	1	2	0	7
Zach Bell	G	26	2-3	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	5
Kent Jackson	G	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Chris Arias	G	16	1-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Donovan Rivers	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency107.4

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

58.6%Effective FG%43.2%

57.7%True Shooting %46.7%

21.6%Turnover Rate14.4%

20.3%Free Throw Rate30.1%

54.7%3-Point Rate27.4%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

North Florida won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.