Mississippi Valley State

3-30

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.5%Mississippi Valley State

94.5%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -19.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -1718

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 68

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 88

Team Comparison

Mississippi Valley StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

17.7MMH Power Index38.7

91.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

117.8Defensive Efficiency111.6

-26.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-4.1Strength of Schedule-6.0

-17.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

70.5Tempo72.6

45.8%Effective FG%51.4%

21.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-18.8Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–17.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–91.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.8), net efficiency (-5.2–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.0).

Final

Mississippi Valley State

79—76

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Mississippi Valley State by 3 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi Valley StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

24-47FG29-64

51.0%FG%45.0%

6-153PT5-22

40.0%3PT%23.0%

25-33FT13-26

76.0%FT%50.0%

36Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists13

12Turnovers8

6Steals6

—Blocks1

16Fouls23

Player Box Score

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Arthur Tate	Guard	33	7-12	0-2	6-6	8	0	1	20
Jair Horton	F	31	4-9	2-4	4-8	4	1	2	14
Moses Horne	Guard	28	3-8	2-5	5-6	7	1	0	13
Alvin Stredic	Forward	26	4-7	0-0	4-5	3	2	0	12
Donovan Sanders	Guard	40	3-6	1-3	3-4	3	10	2	10
Raeshun McGregory	Guard	27	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	5
Greg Moore Jr.	G	4	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	5
Daniel Umoh	Center	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0
Markell Petro	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Doctor Bradley	G	30	12-19	0-0	5-14	9	4	4	0	29
Raphael Dumont	Guard	23	5-10	2-5	0-0	5	2	0	0	12
Dante Sawyer	Guard	19	3-6	0-0	6-8	3	2	0	0	12
Christian Moore	Guard	34	2-10	1-6	2-3	3	2	1	0	7
Kyle Brown	F	23	3-9	0-3	0-1	4	0	0	0	6
Chop Paljor	Guard	19	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Quentin Bolton	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Caleb Jones	Guard	22	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Dennis Asoro	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Zachary Reinhart	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Klemen Vuga	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

115.2Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency115.2

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

57.4%Effective FG%49.2%

63.0%True Shooting %49.8%

18.0%Turnover Rate11.4%

70.2%Free Throw Rate40.6%

31.9%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Mississippi Valley State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.