Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Portland State

70.8%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -242

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 72

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricMontana State

50.2MMH Power Index53.6

109.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

100.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

9.1Net Efficiency9.5

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

70.1Tempo68.1

51.7%Effective FG%55.1%

16.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

6.4Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.3), net efficiency (9.5–9.1), strength of schedule (-3.7–-5.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), offensive rebounding (31.6–28.1), free throw rate (36.8–30.7).

Final

Portland State

73—74

Montana State

Montana State by 1 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATMontana State

28-63FG25-51

44.0%FG%49.0%

6-143PT9-22

43.0%3PT%41.0%

11-17FT15-18

65.0%FT%83.0%

34Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists11

13Turnovers17

9Steals8

3Blocks6

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terri Miller Jr.	F	26	10-16	1-2	4-4	6	1	2	1	25
Jaylin Henderson	G	36	7-12	2-4	1-2	4	0	3	1	17
Qiant Myers	Guard	33	4-14	1-1	5-9	3	4	1	0	14
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	36	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	23	2-5	0-0	0-0	11	0	0	1	4
Cole Farrell	G	20	1-4	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Shane Nowell	Guard	17	1-6	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Kelcy Phipps	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	3

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	31	8-12	1-1	4-6	9	3	1	0	21
Tyler Patterson	Guard	29	3-7	3-5	2-2	0	0	0	0	11
Jabe Mullins	Guard	24	3-5	2-4	0-0	5	0	1	1	8
Sam Lecholat	Forward	19	1-1	0-0	6-6	4	0	2	4	8
Jed Miller	G	25	2-4	1-3	2-2	3	4	3	0	7
Brian Goracke	Forward	11	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Brandon Walker	F	17	2-7	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	17	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Bryce Zephir	G	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
BJ Kolly	F	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

109.9Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency109.9

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

49.2%Effective FG%57.8%

51.4%True Shooting %62.1%

19.4%Turnover Rate25.9%

27.0%Free Throw Rate35.3%

22.2%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.62Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Montana State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.