Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Cal Poly

48.0%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Riverside -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -108

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 82

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Riverside

46.5MMH Power Index41.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.1

-3.8Net Efficiency-7.0

1.7Strength of Schedule0.5

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

76.6Tempo70.7

52.2%Effective FG%49.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-2.9Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (1.7–0.5).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–111.0), ball security (18.5–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

62—80

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 18 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Riverside

18-53FG30-72

34.0%FG%42.0%

10-343PT12-40

29.0%3PT%30.0%

16-21FT8-9

76.0%FT%89.0%

32Rebounds47

10Offensive Rebounds20

15Assists16

14Turnovers11

6Steals6

3Blocks1

11Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peter Bandelj	G	29	3-10	2-7	4-4	3	2	1	0	12
Jarred Hyder	Guard	33	1-7	1-5	7-8	2	1	1	0	10
Isaac Jessup	Guard	30	3-5	2-4	2-2	4	3	1	0	10
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	18	4-8	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Mac Riniker	Guard	29	2-9	2-6	0-2	10	6	0	2	6
Guzman Vasilic	G	18	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	6
Owen Koonce	Guard	26	1-4	0-3	2-2	3	1	2	0	4
Cayden Ward	G	13	1-6	1-3	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Isaac Spears	Guard	2	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	1	0	2
Ethan Menzies	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	27	8-16	4-11	0-0	1	2	1	0	20
Isaiah Moses	G	26	6-17	1-7	0-0	1	6	2	0	13
Joel Armotrading	C	20	3-4	0-0	4-4	8	0	0	1	10
Niyi Olabode	Guard	20	2-5	2-5	3-3	4	2	0	0	9
Kaleb Smith	F	25	3-11	2-7	0-0	7	0	0	0	8
Jack Whitbourn	C	11	3-4	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	0	7
Nate Pickens	G	27	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	5
Parker Strauss	G	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	3
Gavin Davis	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Rikus Schulte	F	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Luke Turner	Forward	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jayden Mojica	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

92.3Offensive Efficiency119.0

119.0Defensive Efficiency92.3

-26.8Net Efficiency26.8

43.4%Effective FG%50.0%

49.2%True Shooting %52.4%

20.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate12.5%

64.2%3-Point Rate55.6%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.