Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Gonzaga

46.9%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -113

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 74

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 73

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricSaint Mary's

76.4MMH Power Index70.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

94.0Defensive Efficiency97.4

25.7Net Efficiency19.3

3.0Strength of Schedule3.0

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

70.4Tempo66.3

55.7%Effective FG%53.1%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

31.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

18.1Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–70.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–97.4), net efficiency (25.7–19.3).

Saint Mary's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (18.6–18.2), offensive rebounding (37.4–35.0), free throw rate (36.8–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

58—62

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 4 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATSaint Mary's

24-55FG21-55

44.0%FG%38.0%

3-173PT9-25

18.0%3PT%36.0%

7-13FT11-22

54.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds40

10Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists16

9Turnovers11

7Steals4

2Blocks4

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	31	10-19	0-2	4-7	8	1	0	1	24
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	4-7	2-3	1-4	1	12	3	0	11
Braden Huff	F	9	3-6	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	28	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	1	4
Nolan Hickman	Guard	27	2-7	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Ben Gregg	Forward	21	1-4	0-2	2-2	5	0	1	0	4
Michael Ajayi	F	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Khalif Battle	Guard	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Dusty Stromer	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikey Lewis	G	22	6-18	4-12	0-0	1	1	0	0	16
Paulius Murauskas	F	36	4-11	1-3	3-6	8	0	0	0	12
Jordan Ross	G	25	2-5	1-1	5-7	4	3	1	0	10
Mitchell Saxen	Center	31	4-5	0-0	1-4	11	1	1	2	9
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	32	3-9	2-4	0-2	2	9	0	0	8
Luke Barrett	Forward	40	2-5	1-3	0-1	8	2	1	0	5
Harry Wessels	C	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	2	2
Ashton Hardaway	F	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

94.5Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency94.5

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

46.4%Effective FG%46.4%

47.4%True Shooting %47.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

23.6%Free Throw Rate40.0%

30.9%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.