North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%North Dakota State

64.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -182

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 75

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 79

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

59MMH Power Index59.8

115.4Offensive Efficiency116.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

14.6Net Efficiency14.6

-4.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

69.6Tempo70.0

54.5%Effective FG%59.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

10.1Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–59.0), offensive efficiency (116.8–115.4), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.6), recent form (14.7–14.3).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–102.2), net efficiency (14.6–14.6), offensive rebounding (32.0–22.1).

Final

North Dakota State

62—79

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 17 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

22-50FG29-58

44.0%FG%50.0%

13-333PT12-29

39.0%3PT%41.0%

5-5FT9-11

100.0%FT%82.0%

27Rebounds30

4Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists19

15Turnovers5

1Steals8

—Blocks1

10Fouls10

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jacari White	G	34	9-14	5-8	0-0	3	1	0	23
Jacksen Moni	Forward	36	5-10	2-6	5-5	6	2	1	17
Tajavis Miller	G	27	5-9	3-5	0-0	8	3	0	13
Masen Miller	Guard	37	2-7	2-7	0-0	2	2	0	6
Brennan Watkins	G	15	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Noah Feddersen	F	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0
Andy Stefonowicz	G	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0
Luke Kasubke	Guard	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0
Darik Dissette	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	30	9-11	1-3	4-4	3	2	3	0	23
Kendall Blue	G	32	8-11	3-5	1-2	4	3	3	0	20
Ben Nau	Guard	24	3-8	3-8	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Ben Oosterbaan	F	15	3-3	2-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Miles Barnstable	G	24	2-10	0-5	3-3	9	1	0	0	7
Carter Bjerke	F	19	2-7	2-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Drake Dobbs	Guard	28	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	4	1	0	3
Ryan Dufault	G	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Rich Byhre	Forward	15	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

98.7Offensive Efficiency125.8

125.8Defensive Efficiency98.7

-27.1Net Efficiency27.1

57.0%Effective FG%60.3%

59.2%True Shooting %62.5%

23.7%Turnover Rate8.0%

10.0%Free Throw Rate19.0%

66.0%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.73Assist / Turnover3.80

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.