Alcorn State

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.2%Alcorn State

86.8%Grambling

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrambling -14.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGrambling -658

Grambling

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 65

Projected Total144.4

Projected ScoreGrambling 80

Team Comparison

Alcorn StateMetricGrambling

29.1MMH Power Index41.4

96.0Offensive Efficiency100.7

115.1Defensive Efficiency100.4

-19.1Net Efficiency0.3

-2.1Strength of Schedule-5.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.4

69.7Tempo69.9

47.8%Effective FG%49.2%

19.6%Turnover Rate20.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

32.4%Free Throw Rate42.2%

-13.3Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–29.1), offensive efficiency (100.7–96.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–115.1), net efficiency (0.3–-19.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-5.7), ball security (19.6–20.9).

Final

Alcorn State

60—53

Grambling

Alcorn State by 7 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alcorn StateTEAM STATGrambling

23-46FG19-52

50.0%FG%37.0%

7-123PT5-21

58.0%3PT%24.0%

7-11FT10-12

64.0%FT%83.0%

34Rebounds20

10Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists9

19Turnovers12

9Steals14

2Blocks1

10Fouls13

Player Box Score

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keionte Cornelius	G	20	5-10	4-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	14
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt	G	28	4-7	2-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	10
Michael Pajeaud	Guard	39	3-4	0-0	2-5	7	3	2	0	8
Marcus Tankersley	G	28	2-6	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	8
Davian Williams	PG	24	4-10	0-1	0-0	2	3	2	0	8
Djahi Binet	F	24	3-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	0	7
Julian Lual	Guard	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	3
Josh Mitchell	Forward	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	2	2
Kameron Foman	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Antonio Lisenbee	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kintavious Dozier	G	36	4-8	2-4	2-2	3	1	2	0	12
Ernest Ross	Forward	29	4-12	0-3	3-4	7	1	1	0	11
Mikale Stevenson	G	35	3-9	1-4	3-4	2	3	6	0	10
Cbo Newton	G	23	2-5	1-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
PJ Eason	F	21	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
James Flippin	F	20	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	3	3	1	4
P.J. Edwards	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Antwan Burnett	G	19	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dupree Fletcher	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Emeka Nnaji	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

97.6Offensive Efficiency86.2

86.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

11.4Net Efficiency-11.4

57.6%Effective FG%41.3%

58.6%True Shooting %45.9%

31.5%Turnover Rate19.1%

23.9%Free Throw Rate23.1%

26.1%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Alcorn State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.