Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.9%Northern Colorado

41.1%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -143

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 80

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricIdaho State

53.7MMH Power Index45.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.0

107.6Defensive Efficiency113.4

8.4Net Efficiency-2.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule0.2

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.1Tempo67.1

56.9%Effective FG%52.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

27.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.0Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (8.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–27.9), free throw rate (39.1–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

86—72

Idaho State

Northern Colorado by 14 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATIdaho State

33-54FG24-64

61.0%FG%38.0%

10-203PT7-18

50.0%3PT%39.0%

10-19FT17-22

53.0%FT%77.0%

37Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists11

13Turnovers5

4Steals5

5Blocks6

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	40	6-9	2-2	5-12	12	1	0	0	19
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	23	7-11	2-4	3-3	4	2	0	1	19
Jaron Rillie	Guard	36	7-12	2-5	1-3	6	8	2	1	17
Marcell McCreary	G	24	5-6	2-3	1-1	3	1	1	1	13
Brock Wisne	F	21	4-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Zach Bloch	G	18	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Quinn Denker	G	31	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Taeshaud Jackson	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Egan Shields	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake O'Neil	Guard	38	7-16	0-0	7-9	10	2	0	0	21
Dylan Darling	G	37	6-15	1-4	7-8	4	4	2	0	20
AJ Burgin	Guard	17	4-10	4-7	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Isaiah Griffin	F	28	2-8	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Connor Hollenbeck	F	29	1-3	0-1	3-4	2	2	0	0	5
Jackson Greene	Forward	19	2-5	0-1	0-1	2	0	1	2	4
Evan Otten	F	22	1-5	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	3	2
Blake Daberkow	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	1	2
Jaedyn Brown	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quentin Meza	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

126.8Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency126.8

20.6Net Efficiency-20.6

70.4%Effective FG%43.0%

68.2%True Shooting %48.4%

19.1%Turnover Rate7.4%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.4%

37.0%3-Point Rate28.1%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.