Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Notre Dame

81.9%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -452

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 74

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreFlorida State 84

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricFlorida State

49.7MMH Power Index58.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.2Defensive Efficiency108.5

-0.9Net Efficiency3.4

4.7Strength of Schedule5.7

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

68.0Tempo71.8

53.0%Effective FG%52.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

34.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-0.6Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–49.7), offensive efficiency (111.9–110.3), defensive efficiency (108.5–111.2), net efficiency (3.4–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.0–52.4), offensive rebounding (31.4–30.3).

Final

Notre Dame

60—67

Florida State

Florida State by 7 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATFlorida State

23-63FG24-49

37.0%FG%49.0%

8-223PT3-13

36.0%3PT%23.0%

6-13FT16-19

46.0%FT%84.0%

36Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists12

16Turnovers18

10Steals7

—Blocks4

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Markus Burton	G	36	10-22	3-6	2-3	1	1	4	25
Tae Davis	F	27	6-11	1-1	1-2	9	2	0	14
Garrett Sundra	F	12	3-5	2-3	0-1	2	2	2	8
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	35	2-12	2-8	0-0	7	2	0	6
Kebba Njie	F	28	2-4	0-0	2-4	3	1	2	6
Sir Mohammed	G	25	0-7	0-2	1-3	4	3	0	1
Julian Roper II	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	0
Cole Certa	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0
Logan Imes	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Nikita Konstantynovskyi	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	36	8-15	3-6	2-2	8	3	1	0	21
Malique Ewin	F	35	6-9	0-0	6-8	10	3	3	3	18
AJ Swinton	F	21	2-5	0-2	5-6	2	1	1	0	9
Daquan Davis	G	31	2-7	0-3	3-3	3	2	0	1	7
Chandler Jackson	G	30	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	0	4
Justin Thomas	G	26	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Christian Nitu	F	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Bostyn Holt	Guard	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alier Maluk	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

86.2Offensive Efficiency96.3

96.3Defensive Efficiency86.2

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

42.9%Effective FG%52.0%

43.4%True Shooting %57.7%

23.1%Turnover Rate25.7%

20.6%Free Throw Rate38.8%

34.9%3-Point Rate26.5%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Florida State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.