Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Saint Louis

23.4%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL161.8

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -327

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 85

Projected Total161.8

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 77

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricMassachusetts

66.7MMH Power Index51.5

120.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

97.6Defensive Efficiency106.7

23.2Net Efficiency3.6

0.3Strength of Schedule0.9

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

72.2Tempo72.8

59.9%Effective FG%53.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate37.7%

16.8Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–51.5), offensive efficiency (120.8–110.3), defensive efficiency (97.6–106.7), net efficiency (23.2–3.6).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–0.3), offensive rebounding (33.7–31.6), free throw rate (37.7–33.9).

Final

Saint Louis

73—71

Massachusetts

Saint Louis by 2 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATMassachusetts

28-57FG27-73

49.0%FG%37.0%

10-293PT6-24

34.0%3PT%25.0%

7-11FT11-18

64.0%FT%61.0%

38Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds21

16Assists12

15Turnovers9

6Steals6

4Blocks3

16Fouls10

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	38	8-18	4-13	0-1	3	2	1	0	20
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	40	6-15	2-7	4-4	5	1	0	0	18
Kobe Johnson	Guard	32	4-7	3-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	11
Kalu Anya	F	31	4-5	0-1	1-4	5	5	0	2	9
Amari McCottry	G	18	3-5	1-1	0-0	6	3	3	0	7
Robbie Avila	C	23	2-3	0-1	2-2	4	4	1	1	6
Dylan Warlick	F	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Kilian Brockhoff	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Curry	G	31	6-15	3-6	1-6	3	1	2	0	16
Daniel Rivera	F	34	5-14	0-0	4-4	14	1	2	1	14
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	27	6-8	1-2	1-2	7	2	0	1	14
Jayden Ndjigue	G	35	4-10	0-4	0-0	4	2	1	1	8
Akil Watson	F	6	2-3	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Rahsool Diggins	Guard	36	2-15	1-10	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	14	0-1	0-0	4-4	1	4	0	0	4
Shah Muhammad	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Malek Abdelgowad	F	6	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

107.5Offensive Efficiency104.6

104.6Defensive Efficiency107.5

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

57.9%Effective FG%41.1%

58.7%True Shooting %43.5%

22.7%Turnover Rate12.9%

19.3%Free Throw Rate24.7%

50.9%3-Point Rate32.9%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.