Davidson

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Davidson

78.2%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -359

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDavidson 67

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

DavidsonMetricDayton

53MMH Power Index59.9

109.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

6.2Net Efficiency7.0

0.1Strength of Schedule5.7

-0.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

65.5Tempo68.3

53.7%Effective FG%52.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

32.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

4.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–53.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.7), net efficiency (7.0–6.2), strength of schedule (5.7–0.1).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.9–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0), ball security (15.6–16.9).

Final

Davidson

63—69

Dayton

Dayton by 6 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DavidsonTEAM STATDayton

24-55FG21-56

44.0%FG%38.0%

5-243PT6-26

21.0%3PT%23.0%

10-11FT21-24

91.0%FT%88.0%

32Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists11

10Turnovers9

8Steals6

2Blocks2

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reed Bailey	F	38	7-14	0-0	5-6	4	8	3	0	19
Connor Kochera	Guard	35	6-12	1-3	4-4	8	3	2	0	17
Bobby Durkin	F	37	5-15	3-13	0-0	6	3	1	0	13
Mike Loughnane	G	30	2-6	1-5	1-1	4	1	0	0	6
Manie Joses	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	4
Zach Laput	Guard	23	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Hunter Adam	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	2
Joe Hurlburt	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	37	6-14	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	13
Javon Bennett	G	35	4-11	2-7	3-3	5	2	2	0	13
Amaël L'Etang	F	31	4-7	0-1	5-6	13	0	2	2	13
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	34	2-11	1-8	5-6	6	3	1	0	10
Posh Alexander	Guard	33	3-7	2-4	2-2	3	5	0	0	10
Jacob Conner	F	11	1-1	0-0	4-5	1	0	0	0	6
Zed Key	Forward	9	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Hamad Mousa	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jaiun Simon	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

99.5Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency99.5

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

48.2%Effective FG%42.9%

52.3%True Shooting %51.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.2%

20.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

43.6%3-Point Rate46.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Dayton won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.