Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Drake

78.8%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -372

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 76

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreMurray State 85

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricMurray State

46.4MMH Power Index53.6

109.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

0.4Net Efficiency4.0

0.3Strength of Schedule3.5

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.6Tempo72.3

52.2%Effective FG%54.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

34.4%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–46.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.5), net efficiency (4.0–0.4), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.1–111.0), ball security (14.9–16.3).

Final

Drake

55—45

Murray State

Drake by 10 • 49.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATMurray State

22-43FG17-41

51.0%FG%41.0%

2-83PT3-15

25.0%3PT%20.0%

9-11FT8-10

82.0%FT%80.0%

27Rebounds19

7Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists9

8Turnovers8

6Steals2

—Blocks1

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	39	9-16	1-3	4-4	3	4	2	23
Tavion Banks	G	26	7-10	0-0	2-3	5	3	0	16
Kael Combs	G	16	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	6
Daniel Abreu	Forward	38	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4
Mitch Mascari	Guard	38	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	2	3
Cam Manyawu	F	14	1-5	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	3
Isaia Howard	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylen Milton	Guard	28	2-7	0-1	6-6	2	2	0	1	10
Nick Ellington	F	25	5-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
AJ Ferguson	Guard	34	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	3-9	0-4	0-0	3	4	0	0	6
Alden Applewhite	F	19	2-4	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	6
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	14	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Terence Harcum	Guard	36	1-9	0-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Justin Morgan	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

49.0Possessions49.0

112.2Offensive Efficiency91.8

91.8Defensive Efficiency112.2

20.4Net Efficiency-20.4

53.5%Effective FG%45.1%

57.0%True Shooting %49.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.6%Free Throw Rate24.4%

18.6%3-Point Rate36.6%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Drake won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 49.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.